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Review| Volume 30, ISSUE 3, P381-394, March 2022

Are biomechanics during gait associated with the structural disease onset and progression of lower limb osteoarthritis? A systematic review and meta-analysis

Open ArchivePublished:October 28, 2021DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joca.2021.10.010

      Summary

      Objective

      To evaluate if gait biomechanics are associated with increased risk of structurally diagnosed disease onset or progression of lower limb osteoarthritis (OA).

      Method

      A systematic review of Medline and Embase was conducted from inception to July 2021. Two reviewers independently screened records, extracted data and assessed risk of bias. Included studies reported gait biomechanics at baseline, and either structural imaging or joint replacement occurrence in the lower limb at follow-up. The primary outcome was the Odds Ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) of the association between biomechanics and structural OA outcomes with data pooled for meta-analysis.

      Results

      Twenty-three studies reporting 25 different biomechanical metrics and 11 OA imaging outcomes were included (quality scores ranged 12–20/21). Twenty studies investigated knee OA progression; three studies investigated knee OA onset. Two studies investigated hip OA progression. 91% of studies reported a significant association between at least one biomechanical variable and OA onset or progression. There was an association between frontal plane biomechanics with medial tibiofemoral and hip OA progression and sagittal plane biomechanics with patellofemoral OA progression. Meta-analyses demonstrated increased odds of medial tibiofemoral OA progression with greater baseline peak knee adduction moment (KAM) (OR: 1.88 [95%CI: 1.08, 3.29]) and varus thrust presence (OR: 1.97 [95%CI: 1.32, 2.96]).

      Conclusion

      Evidence suggests that certain gait biomechanics are associated with an increased odds of OA onset and progression in the knee, and progression in the hip.

      Registration number

      PROSPERO CRD42019133920

      Keywords

      Introduction

      Osteoarthritis (OA) is characterised by structural changes, such as bone marrow lesions (BMLs), osteophytes, cartilage loss and symptoms including pain and functional deficits
      • Hunter D.J.
      Osteoarthritis.
      . OA is a leading contributor to disability worldwide
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      Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.
      and associated with considerable economic burden
      • Kingsbury S.R.
      • Gross H.J.
      • Isherwood G.
      • Conaghan P.G.
      Osteoarthritis in Europe: impact on health status, work productivity and use of pharmacotherapies in five European countries.
      . To reduce this burden, understanding of modifiable risk factors of disease onset and/or progression is needed. A key emerging risk factor is theorised to be the loading environment of weight-bearing joints
      • Andriacchi T.
      • Mündermann A.
      • Smith R.
      • Alexander E.
      • Dyrby C.
      • Koo S.
      A framework for the in vivo pathomechanics of osteoarthritis at the knee.
      .
      In-vivo animal studies have shown a link between compressive joint loading and structural changes, which may contribute to increased OA onset and progression risk
      • Ko F.C.
      • Dragomir C.
      • Plumb D.A.
      • Goldring S.R.
      • Wright T.M.
      • Goldring M.B.
      • van der Meulen M.C.
      In vivo cyclic compression causes cartilage degeneration and subchondral bone changes in mouse tibiae.
      . Articular cartilage and subchondral bone have significant capacity to withstand load and remodel in response
      • Stewart H.L.
      • Kawcak C.E.
      The importance of subchondral bone in the pathophysiology of osteoarthritis.
      . However, excessive compressive loading beyond a threshold may overwhelm the ability of the cartilage and subchondral bone to adapt, potentially causing tissue failure
      • Stewart H.L.
      • Kawcak C.E.
      The importance of subchondral bone in the pathophysiology of osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Simon S.R.
      • Radin E.L.
      • Paul I.L.
      • Rose R.M.
      The response of joints to impact loading — II in vivo behavior of subchondral bone.
      . Shear loading (transverse and medio-lateral forces) is also proposed to contribute to osteoarthritic changes by compromising cartilage integrity
      • Lee M.S.
      • Trindade M.C.D.
      • Ikenoue T.
      • Schurman D.J.
      • Goodman S.B.
      • Smith R.L.
      Effects of shear stress on nitric oxide and matrix protein gene expression in human osteoarthritic chondrocytes in vitro.
      . Excessive compressive or shear forces are therefore hypothesised to surpass the threshold of tissue capacity and can result in load being shifted to infrequently loaded joint areas
      • Andriacchi T.
      • Mündermann A.
      • Smith R.
      • Alexander E.
      • Dyrby C.
      • Koo S.
      A framework for the in vivo pathomechanics of osteoarthritis at the knee.
      .
      Joint loads are estimated non-invasively via three-dimensional (3D) gait analysis
      • Favre J.
      • Jolles B.M.
      Gait analysis of patients with knee osteoarthritis highlights a pathological mechanical pathway and provides a basis for therapeutic interventions.
      ,
      • Cappozzo A.
      • Della Croce U.
      • Leardini A.
      • Chiari L.
      Human movement analysis using stereophotogrammetry: Part 1: theoretical background.
      . For example, the external knee adduction moment (KAM) acts to rotate the tibia with respect to the femur in the frontal plane, and is widely considered a valid
      • Kutzner I.
      • Trepczynski A.
      • Heller M.O.
      • Bergmann G.
      Knee adduction moment and medial contact force--facts about their correlation during gait.
      and reliable
      • Birmingham T.
      • Hunt M.
      • Jones I.
      • Jenkyn T.
      • Giffin J.
      Test-retest reliability of the peak knee adduction moment during walking in patients with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      proxy measure of medial to lateral knee joint load distribution during gait. Research alludes to an association between higher baseline KAM magnitudes during gait and greater odds of knee OA progression over time, with reported odds ratios (OR) of 1.3 [ 95%CI: 0.86, 1.98]
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      and 6.46 [95%CI: 2.40, 17.45]
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      . Significant associations between gait biomechanical metrics at baseline and OA progression at follow-up have also been reported in people with hip OA. A recent study suggests that hip joint loading patterns, such as cumulative hip frontal plane moment, may be associated with hip OA progression
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      . Differences in gait biomechanics have also been identified between people with ankle OA and healthy controls, possibly alluding to increased risk of OA changes.
      • Queen R.
      Directing clinical care using lower extremity biomechanics in patients with ankle osteoarthritis and ankle arthroplasty.
      A comprehensive systematic evaluation of gait biomechanics at baseline and the association with subsequent OA onset and progression in lower limb weight-bearing joints is needed due to the potentially modifiable nature of gait. One systematic review, published in 2014
      • Henriksen M.
      • Creaby M.W.
      • Lund H.
      • Juhl C.
      • Christensen R.
      Is there a causal link between knee loading and knee osteoarthritis progression? A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies and randomised trials.
      , aimed to study if the KAM biomechanical metric is associated with higher risk of knee OA progression. The authors did not find a significant association between higher KAM and OA progression, potentially due to the small number of studies (k = 4) and large variability in findings. Since 2014, additional studies have been conducted examining the relationship between KAM variables and knee OA progression
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      , and further studies have suggested that other biomechanical metrics may also be relevant for knee OA pathology, such as knee flexion moment (KFM)
      • Creaby M.W.
      It's not all about the knee adduction moment: the role of the knee flexion moment in medial knee joint loading.
      and varus thrust presence
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      . Further, the focus of the previous review
      • Henriksen M.
      • Creaby M.W.
      • Lund H.
      • Juhl C.
      • Christensen R.
      Is there a causal link between knee loading and knee osteoarthritis progression? A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies and randomised trials.
      was knee OA progression and one biomechanical metric, and did not provide data on OA outcomes at other lower limb joints or evaluate OA onset. This research is important as biomechanical metrics hypothesised to be associated with loading
      • Bowling F.L.
      • Reeves N.D.
      Conservative biomechanical strategies for knee osteoarthritis.
      , are modifiable through certain interventions, including braces
      • Jones R.K.
      • Nester C.J.
      • Richards J.D.
      • Kim W.Y.
      • Johnson D.S.
      • Jari S.
      • et al.
      A comparison of the biomechanical effects of valgus knee braces and lateral wedged insoles in patients with knee osteoarthritis.
      , orthoses
      • Maly M.R.
      • Culham E.G.
      • Costigan P.A.
      Static and dynamic biomechanics of foot orthoses in people with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      , gait aids
      • Simic M.
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Hunt M.A.
      • Wrigley T.V.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Contralateral cane use and knee joint load in people with medial knee osteoarthritis: the effect of varying body weight support.
      , and gait modification strategies.
      • Simic M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      • Wrigley T.V.
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Hunt M.A.
      Gait modification strategies for altering medial knee joint load: a systematic review.
      Given the emerging research, a systematic and comprehensive risk evaluation is required for the hip, knee, and ankle joints. This review aims to determine and quantify if gait biomechanical metrics are associated with the onset or progression of structural OA changes in the major lower limb joints, defined by imaging-based changes or joint replacement occurrence.

      Methods

      Data sources and searches

      We searched two electronic databases, Medline and Embase from inception to 12/07/2021. Key terms included “Osteoarthritis”, “Biomechanics/gait”, “Knee/Hip/Ankle”, “Disease onset/progression” and terms referring to OA structural changes (Appendix A). The search was restricted to humans, with no restriction on language, age, race, or geographical location. A bibliographic and citation search of included studies was conducted. This review was registered prospectively (Prospero CRD42019133920).

      Inclusion/exclusion criteria

      Studies

      Studies were eligible if they were longitudinal and reported OA structural outcomes assessed through either imaging (e.g., radiographs or MRI: Magnetic Resonance Imaging) changes between baseline and follow-up or joint replacement surgery occurrence after baseline. Dissertations, conference proceedings, abstract, case studies, intervention studies with no observation/control group, and reviews (systematic or narrative) were excluded. Studies with participants who had history of knee/hip replacement prior to baseline, inflammatory arthritis, or neurological conditions affecting gait at baseline were excluded.

      Exposure and outcome

      All included studies reported gait biomechanics including kinetic, kinematic, and spatiotemporal metrics. The following terminology will be used throughout this review: we defined “biomechanical metrics” as umbrella kinetic, kinematic, or spatiotemporal measurements in the frontal, sagittal and transverse planes (e.g., KAM and hip flexion angle). We used the term “biomechanical variables” to define these metrics at specific time-points in the gait cycle (e.g., early stance peak KAM, or midstance hip flexion angle). Lower limb biomechanical metrics derived from marker-based motion capture, two-dimensional (2-d) videography, or pressure-sensing mats were extracted. Studies exclusively investigating static alignment or non-gait biomechanical metrics were excluded. Studies defined disease onset as any OA structural changes detected on imaging via semi-quantitative and quantitative scales from imaging-defined healthy joints at baseline. Studies defined lower limb OA progression as worsening of OA features on imaging, or the occurrence of joint replacement surgery. Occurrence of joint replacement surgery was chosen as an acceptable OA progression outcome as structural OA worsening on imaging over time has shown to predict the need for joint replacement surgery, inclusive of joint space narrowing (JSN) seen on radiographs
      • Bruyere O.
      • Richy F.
      • Reginster J.Y.
      Three year joint space narrowing predicts long term incidence of knee surgery in patients with osteoarthritis: an eight year prospective follow up study.
      and changes in cartilage volume and BMLs seen on MRI.
      • Tanamas S.K.
      • Wluka A.E.
      • Pelletier J.-P.
      • Pelletier J.M.
      • Abram F.
      • Berry P.A.
      • et al.
      Bone marrow lesions in people with knee osteoarthritis predict progression of disease and joint replacement: a longitudinal study.

      Inclusion determination

      All records were initially screened by title and abstract. Full-texts of relevant records were obtained and screened to determine eligibility. Two reviewers independently screened, and a third independent reviewer was available to resolve disagreements.

      Risk of bias

      Risk of bias was evaluated independently by two reviewers (ND, JC) with disagreements resolved by a third reviewer (JG). Quality was assessed using the risk of bias tool reported in Chapple et al.
      • Chapple C.M.
      • Nicholson H.
      • Baxter G.D.
      • Abbott J.H.
      Patient characteristics that predict progression of knee osteoarthritis: a systematic review of prognostic studies.
      , specifically designed for the assessment of OA prognostic studies (Appendix B). The tool contains 20 items divided into 4 subscales: study participation, study attrition, measurement and data presentation, and analysis and presentation of results. Each item was scored 0 (poor quality) or 1 (good quality), with a total score range of 0–21. We modified item N to have two separate points: one for blinding of the assessors and one for the use of standardised procedures for reading imaging or joint replacement occurrence. In reference to study attrition, studies were scored as “unable to determine” if they did not report the initial baseline sample of participants and only included participants who had follow-up data.

      Quality of evidence

      Two reviewers (ND, JC) independently assessed the quality of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) for prognostic factors
      • Foroutan F.
      • Guyatt G.
      • Zuk V.
      • Vandvik P.O.
      • Alba A.C.
      • Mustafa R.
      • et al.
      GRADE Guidelines 28: use of GRADE for the assessment of evidence about prognostic factors: rating certainty in identification of groups of patients with different absolute risks.
      . Four items: study limitations, inconsistency, indirectness, imprecision, and publication bias were evaluated to grade the overall quality of evidence for meta-analyses with ≥3 studies. Disagreements were resolved by a third reviewer (MS).

      Data extraction and synthesis

      Using a standardised template, two reviewers (ND, JC) independently extracted the following data: affected joint, baseline condition (healthy or OA), recruitment, participant characteristics, inclusion/exclusion, biomechanical assessment method, OA onset and progression definition, study design and attrition rate. The primary value extracted was the Odds Ratio (OR) (95%CI: 95% confidence interval) of the association between biomechanical variables and OA onset/progression. If this was unavailable, baseline biomechanical variables were extracted, which included mean (standard deviation (SD)) for the progression and non-progression subgroups or the reported regression coefficients. If a study only provided baseline biomechanical variables through graphs, data were extracted through the Webplot digitiser. In this instance, baseline variables were entered into Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software which converted the values into an OR point estimate (95% CI).
      Meta-analyses were performed for all biomechanical variables which could be grouped according to the consistent joint, plane of motion, direction/torque, and time/phase of the gait cycle. Analyses were conducted on all available outcomes of disease progression for the same biomechanical variable. If the data from the same cohort was presented in two studies, meta-analysis was conducted using the study reporting either the largest sample size and/or reported adjusted odds ratios. Heterogeneity was determined by evaluating the similarity in study methods (including imaging outcomes, follow-up times, and cohort similarities) as well as the I2 statistic (<40% suggesting low heterogeneity)
      • Higgins J.P.T.
      . Given that included studies in the meta-analyses had increased heterogeneity due to varying follow-up periods, I2 >40% and sample sizes, we used a random effects model for all analyses. Sensitivity analyses were conducted separately for outcomes by modes of imaging (radiographic and MRI), then grouped further for the specific outcome of disease progression (e.g.: joint space narrowing (JSN), BMLs). For meta-analyses where <3 studies were available, results are reported in Appendix C. Reported biomechanical metrics not included in a meta-analysis were presented in table format and reported during the narrative synthesis. Overall, a narrative summary of the number of studies reporting biomechanical metrics and the number of studies with positive, negative or no associations to OA pathology are provided for each joint.

      Results

      Our search yielded 2,914 independent records, of which 48 were retained for full-text screening, and 23 studies met the eligibility criteria for final inclusion (Fig. 1). Of the included studies, 21 evaluated the relationship between biomechanical metrics and knee OA
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.
      , two of the hip
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.
      , and no study reported biomechanical metrics associated with ankle OA. Twenty-two studies (14 cohorts) investigated OA disease progression, and two of these studies (separate cohorts)
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      , also investigated knee OA disease onset. An additional study only investigated knee OA onset
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      . Baseline participant characteristics of included studies are reported in Table I.
      Table IStudy characteristics
      StudyLower limb regionSample size (%F)%Attrition (follow-up time)Age Mean (SD) unless otherwise statedBMI Mean (SD) unless otherwise statedParticipant characteristicsBiomechanical assessmentOutcomeBaseline OA severity (KL) (%)-unless otherwise statedOnset/progression definitionAdjustment of results (ORs unless otherwise stated)
      Knee Osteoarthritis
      Bennell et al., 2011
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.


      Australia
      Medial tibiofemoral144 (56%)Unable to determine attrition (12 months)64.4 (8)28.6 (4.5)Community dwellings, sub-study (no Rx) of a previous RCT

      Age >50 Y, pain >3/10 VAS, KL 2–3.
      3D Gait AnalysisMRIGrade II = 53%

      Grade III = 7%
      Progression: BML- Increase of 1 from a described semi-quantitative scaleAdjusted for age, gender, body mass index, MRI machine, static knee alignment, treatment group and baseline tibiofemoral cartilage defect score or BML scores
      Brisson et al., 2017
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.


      Canada
      Medial tibial64 (NR)17% (Mean SD follow-up: 2.56 (0.51))61 (6.9)28.5 (5.7)Rheumatology/Orthopaedic offices.

      Between age 40–70 with OA diagnosis according to ACR criteria.
      3D Gait AnalysisMRIGrade 1-II = 4%

      Grade II = 35%

      Grade III = 35%

      Grade IV = 27%
      Progression: Change in cartilage morphologyAdjusted for Age, sex, BMI and baseline medial tibial cartilage volume
      Brisson & Gatti et al., 2021
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.


      Canada
      Medial tibiofemoral47 (83%)Unable to detemine attrition (Mean SD follow-up: 2.57 (0.53))61.1 (6.8)28.8 (5.8)Rheumatology/orthopaedic offices (convenience sample). Diagnosis of OA as per ACR criteria. KL grade ≥23D Gait AnalysisMRIGrade II = 38%

      Grade III = 38%

      Grade IV = 23%
      Progression: Annual change in cartilage volumeAge, height, BMI and gait speed
      Chang et al., 2017
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.


      USA
      Patellofemoral joint250 (77%)18% (24 months)64.2 (10)28.4 (5.7)From the MAK 3 study -Community dwelling definite osteophyte presence.3D Gait AnalysisMRIGrade 0 = 4%

      Grade I = 18%

      Grade II = 48%

      Grade III = 14%

      Grade IV = 15%
      Progression: Any one full grade increase in WORMS scoreAdjusted for age, sex, gait speed, and PF disease severity
      Chang et al., 2015
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral250 (77%)18% (24 months)64.2 (10)28.4 (5.7)From the MAK 3 study Community dwelling, definite osteophyte presence.3D Gait AnalysisMRIReported for knees:

      Grade 0 = 4%

      Grade I = 18% Grade II = 48 %

      Grade III = 14 %

      Grade IV = 15%
      Progression: Any one full grade increase in WORMS scoreAdjusted for gait speed, age, gender, KL grade, knee pain severity, and medication use
      Chang et al., 2004
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral237 (73%)6% (18 months)68 (10.7)30 (6)Subset of MAK study

      Community dwellings with osteophyte presence.
      2D Video camerasX-RAYNot providedProgression: Any worsening joint space width (OARSI atlas)Adjusted for age, sex, BMI, and pain severity
      Chang et al., 2005
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral57 (63%)Unable to determine attrition

      (18 months)
      67 (8.7)29 (4.1)Subset of MAK study

      Community dwellings with osteophyte presence.
      3D Gait AnalysisX-RAYMild OA (no JSN) = 72%

      Moderate OA (not severe) = 28%
      Progression: Any worsening in the grade of joint space width (OARSI atlas)Adjusted for age, sex, knee pain, physical activity (PASE), knee OA severity
      Chang et al., 2007
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral56 (59%)Unable to determine attrition

      (18 months)
      66.6 (8.6)29 (4.2)Subset of MAK study

      Community dwellings with osteophyte presence.
      3D Gait AnalysisX-RAYGrade II = 71%

      Grade III = 29%
      Progression: Any worsening in the radiographic medial joint space (OARSI atlas)Adjusted for age, gender, BMI, knee pain severity and baseline disease severity
      Chehab et al., 2014
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral16 (62%)61% (Mean follow- up (SD): 4.7 (0.6))60.1 (9.4)28.3 (4.5)Recruited from a previous cohort (Community and Veterans affairs.

      Age >40 years, X-ray diagnosed medial knee OA; KL ≥ 1)
      3D Gait AnalysisMRIGrade I = 25%

      Grade II = 31%

      Grade III = 38%

      Grade IV = 6%
      Progression: Change in cartilage thicknessStandardised coefficients
      Costello et al., 2020
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.


      Canada ꝋ
      Medial tibiofemoral49

      (Radiographic outcome:

      PG: 18%

      NPG: 38%

      TKA outcome:

      PG: 31%

      NPG: 31%)
      Unable to determine attrition

      (Follow-up in years

      (Radiographic:

      NPG: 7.3 (2.3) years

      PG: 6.8 (2.2) years

      TKA:

      NPG: 7.3 (2.0) years

      PG: 5.9 (2.6) years)
      Radiographic outcome:

      NPG: 18%

      PG: 38%

      TKA outcome:

      NPG: 31%

      PG: 31%
      Radographic outcome:

      NPG: 30.5 (5.6)

      PG: 32.4 (5.3)

      TKA outcome:

      NPG: 32.1 (6.0)

      PG: 30.7 (3.0)
      Retrospective secondary analysis of data from participants. Recruited from community and orthopaedic offices. Participants should have functional ability to jog 5 m, walk a city block and climb stairs.3D Gait AnalysisRadiographic JSN and TKA occurrenceRadiographic outcome:

      (n)

      Grade 1 = 6

      Grade 2 = 17

      Grade 3 = 26

      Grade 4: = 0

      TKA outcome:

      Grade 1 = 6

      Grade 2 = 17

      Grade 3 = 26

      Grade 4 = 0
      Progression: Structural outcome: one grade or greater increase in radiographic medial JSN from baseline.

      OR occurrence of TKA.
      Unadjusted (PC scores and discrete metrics)
      Davis et al., 2019
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.


      Canada ꝋ
      Medial tibiofemoral52

      PG: 33%

      NPG: 58%
      8%

      (Mean follow-up (SD): 2.97 (0.4))
      PG: 61.3 (6.3)

      NPG: 54.1 (7.4)
      PG:

      29.7 (5.4)

      NPG:

      28.9 (4.7)
      Community- Orthopaedic and sports medicine clinics

      Self-reported ability to walk a city block, jog 5 m, walk upstairs.

      KL grade 1-3
      3D Gait AnalysisX-RAYPG:(n):

      Grade 0 = 1

      Grade I = 5

      Grade II = 4

      Grade III = 0

      NPG:(n):

      Grade I = 2

      Grade II = 24

      Grade III = 12

      Grade IV = 0
      Progression: OARSI-OMERACT

      Progression defined as one grade increase in medial joint space narrowing
      Unadjusted
      Erhart-Hledik et al., 2021
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral38 (55%)31%

      (Mean follow-up (SD): 7.1 (2.3))
      56.5 (6.3)25 (4.4)Convenience sample recruited from 104 healthy individuals previously tested in studies (studies not specified). No diagnosis of knee OA, BMI <35 kg/m23D Gait AnalysisMRIN/A = healthy individuals at baselineOnset: Change in cartilage thickness from baseline to follow-up. Diagnosis of OA: KL ≥ 2Unstandardised coefficients
      Favre et al., 2016
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral16 (63%)62%

      (Mean follow-up (SD): 4.7 (0.6))
      59 (9)29.1 (4.1)Recruited from a previous cohort (Orthopaedic clinic, community

      Age >40)
      3D Gait AnalysisMRIKL (0–4) Reported as mean (SD): 2.1 (1.1)Progression: Change in cartilage thicknessAdjusted for age, gender, BMI, walking speed, K/L grade and pain.
      Hart et al., 2020
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.


      USA
      Patellofemoral and medial tibiofemoral1,089

      (62%)
      Unable to determine attrition

      (24 months)
      66.9 (7.5)29.6 (4.7)Recruited from the MOST Study.

      Independent walking ability
      Pressure walkwayMRINot providedProgression: Increase in WORMS score >1 from 60 to 84 months to follow-up. Within grade WORMS score changes were also considered indicative of worsening.Risk ratios adjusted for age, BMI and previous injury/surgery.
      Hatfield et al., 2015
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.


      Canada ꝋ
      Medial Tibiofemoral80

      (PG: 27%)

      (NPG: 32%)
      33%

      (TKA: 4 (3) years

      No TKA: 8 (2) years)
      PG: 60.2 (9.3)

      NPG: 57.9 (7.3)
      PG: 30.9 (4.7)

      NPG: 31.5 (6.2)
      Recruited from orthopaedic offices.

      Moderate clinical and radiographic OA. Able to jog 5 m, to walk a city block, able to climb stairs.
      3D Gait AnalysisTKA occurrenceMedian value provided

      Grade 3 for both TKA and no TKA groups.
      Progression: TKAPC scores- (alignment, K/L score, JSN score, WOMAC total score, WOMAC pain score, age, sex, and mass)
      Mahmoudian et al., 2017
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.


      Belgium
      Medial tibiofemoral47 (100%)Unable to determine attrition

      (2 years)
      68 (0.9)21.17 (0.7)Recruited from the University hospital, > 57 years.3D Gait AnalysisMRIKL 0 = 22%

      KL 1 = 36%

      KL 2 = 2%

      KL 3 = 13%
      Progression: BLOKS scoring: change in the number of BMLs, cumulative scores for size and % of full thickness lesions.Unstandardsied coefficients
      Miyazaki et al., 2002
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.


      Japan
      Medial tibiofemoral106 (81%)30% (6 years)69.9 (7.8)24.5 (3.2)Recruited from Orthopaedic Offices.

      Age >50

      Medial knee pain in daily activities, varus alignment
      3D Gait AnalysisX-RAYGrade I = 20%

      Grade II = 25%

      Grade III = 34%

      Grade IV = 21%
      Progression: One or more grade narrowing of the joint space and osteophyte formation (KL grading)Adjusted for age, sex, pain score, mechanical axis and joint space width.
      Sharma et al., 2017
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.


      USA
      Medial tibiofemoral4,796 (59%)Final sample size not specific

      (84 months

      (IQ range: 60–84))
      61.2 (0.2)28.6 (4.8)Participants were recruited from the OAI. Ages of 45–792D Video CameraX-RAYNot providedOnset and progression: Increased (partial or whole grade) in KL grade or JSNAdjusted for age, sex, BMI and pain on the (WOMAC) pain subscale
      Stefanik et al., 2016
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.


      USA
      Patellofemoral joint2,330 (62%)55%

      (24 months)
      66.9 (7.5)29.6 (4.7)Recruited as part of the MOST Study. Independent walking ability, no aid or knee bracePressure walkwayMRINot providedProgression: WORMS Score worseningAdjusted for age, BMI, leg length, and tibiofemoral joint structural damage
      Teng et al., 2015
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.


      USA
      Patellofemoral joint84 (67%)27%

      (12 months)
      51.3 (9.9)24.4 (2.2)Recruited from the community. Age >35 years. Radiographic signs of OA.3D Gait AnalysisMRINot providedProgression: WORMS Score increase of 1 grade.Adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, and presence of baseline PF joint OA
      Wink et al., 2017
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.


      USA ꝋ
      Medial tibiofemoral2,768

      With thrust (50%)

      No thrust (68%)
      64%

      (24 months)
      With thrust: 67.4 (7.6)

      No thrust: 66.4 (7.5)
      With thrust: 29.8 (4.9)

      No thrust: 29.3 (4.7)
      Participants were part of the MOST Study. Independent walking ability2D Video camerasMRIWith thrust: Grade II = 16%

      Grade III = 23%

      Grade IV = 6%
      Onset (incidence BML): BML score increase

      WORMS score >2

      Progression: Worsening of a whole grade in BML

      Worsening of the WORMS score (from baseline)
      Adjusted for age, sex, race, BMI, clinic site and baseline KL grade
      Hip Osteoarthritis
      Kumar et al., 2018
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.


      USAꝋ
      Hip57

      (PG: 59%

      NPG:37%)
      0%

      (18 months)
      PG: 52 (11.8)

      NPG:

      44.1 (13.4)
      PG: 24 (3.6)

      NPG: 24 (2.6)
      Participants were recruited from the community

      KL 2 or 3.
      3D Gait AnalysisMRINPG:

      Grade 0 = 37%

      Grade I = 40%

      Grade II = 17%

      Grade III = 7%

      PG:

      Grade 0 = 9%

      Grade 1 = 41%

      Grade II = 23%

      Grade III = 27%
      Progression: Any change in scores from SHOMRIAdjusted for age, sex, BMI, presence of OA at baseline
      Tateuchi et al., 2017
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.


      Japan
      Hip50 (100%)0% (12 months)47.4 (10.7)Not providedRecruited from the department of Orthopaedic surgery Kyoto University. Ability to walk without assistive devices3D Gait AnalysisX-RayMinimum JSW at baseline:

      NPG:3.7 (1.4) mm

      PG: 2.9 (1.4) mm
      Progression Reduction of 0.5 mm/year in JSWAdjusted for age, gender, body weight, and minimum JSW (mm)
      ACR = American college of rheumatology; BLOKS = Boston Leeds osteoarthritis knee score; BML = bone marrow lesions; BMI = body mass index; JSW = joint space width; K/L = Kellgren Lawrence; MAK = mechanical factors in arthritis of the knee; MOST = multicentre osteoarthritis study; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; NR = not reported; OARSI-OMERACT = osteoarthritis research society international (OARSI)- outcome measures in rheumatology (OMERACT); PASE = physical activity scale for the elderly; PF = patellofemoral joint; Rx = intervention group; RCT = randomised controlled trial; SHOMRI = scoring hip osteoarthritis with MRI; TKA = total knee athroplasty; VAS = visual analog scale; WORMS = whole-organ MRI scoring; WOMAC = western Ontario and Mcmaster universities arthritis index.
      ꝋ: Studies did not provide overall summary scores for Age, BMI, %female, therefore mean (SD) for subgroups were reported.
      All studies recruited participants from either community dwellings or orthopaedic offices. Sample sizes varied between 16
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      and 4796,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      with most studies having a greater proportion of female participants. Follow-up assessments ranged from 12
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      to 95 months
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      after baseline. A total of 25 unique biomechanical metrics were evaluated using 3D motion analysis (k = 18)
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      ,
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.
      , 2-d video analysis (k = 3)
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      and pressure platforms (k = 2)
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      ,
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      . For OA structural outcomes, 14 studies conducted MRI evaluations, 8 studies used radiographic evaluations and two studies reported progression by total knee arthroplasty (TKA)
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      at follow-up. Imaging outcomes included a range of measures across varying compartments of the relevant joint, including BMLs
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      , cartilage thickness loss
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      ,
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      , cartilage volume loss
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.
      , cartilage damage
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      , cartilage defects
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      , joint space width
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.
      , JSN
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      , Kellgren and Lawrence (KL) grade worsening
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      , change in Boston Leeds Osteoarthritis Knee Score (BLOKS)
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.
      , Hip Osteoarthritis with MRI (SHOMRI) scores
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.
      , and Whole Organ MRI- Scoring scores (WORMS) worsening.
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.

      Risk of bias

      Study quality ranged from 12 to 20 points out of a maximum 21, and a mean (SD) score of 16.78 (2.55) (Table II). Studies performed strongly (k = 15) with regards to measurement, and data presentation as well as analysis and presentation of results. Majority of studies had appropriate representation of the OA population, with the study setting/baseline characteristics adequately described. Biomechanical metrics were clearly defined, and structural imaging outcomes used reliable scoring systems with blinded assessors. Seven studies
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.
      ,
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.
      only reported participants with follow-up data and thus attrition was not possible to determine.
      Table IIRisk of bias
      StudyStudy Participation (out of 4)Study Attrition (out of 3)Measurement and Data Presentation (out of 9)Analysis and Presentation of Results (out of 5)Overall Score (out of 21)
      Bennell et al., 2011
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      3Unable to determine9517
      Brisson et al., 2017
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.
      338418
      Brisson et al. & Gatti, 2021
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.
      2Unable to determine8212
      Chang et al., 2017
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      339419
      Chang et al., 2015
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      339520
      Chang et al., 2004
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      339419
      Chang et al., 2005
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.
      3Unable to determine9517
      Chang et al., 2007
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      3Unable to determine9517
      Chehab et al., 2014
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      328417
      Costello et al., 2020
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      4Unable to determine8113
      Davis et al., 2019
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      239115
      Erhart-Hledik et al., 2021
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      327214
      Favre et al., 2016
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      327416
      Hart et al., 2020
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      3Unable to determine6514
      Hatfield et al., 2015
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      326314
      Kumar et al., 2018
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.
      339520
      Mahmoudian et al., 2017
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.
      2Unable to determine6412
      Miyazaki et al., 2002
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      328518
      Sharma et al., 2017
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      329519
      Stefanik et al., 2016
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      328518
      Tateuchi et al., 2017
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      339520
      Teng et al., 2015
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      329519
      Wink et al., 2017
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      328518

      Synthesis of results

      Table III provides a summary of confirmed associations between baseline biomechanics and OA onset or progression risk. All but two studies
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.
      (91%) reported at least one significant association between a biomechanical variable at baseline and OA disease onset or progression. Eighteen studies found an association between higher values of baseline gait biomechanics and OA progression in the knee and hip, signifying an increased risk of OA progression
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      ,
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      ,
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.
      . Two studies also found significant associations between baseline biomechanics and knee OA onset
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      . Three studies
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      found a negative association between higher values of hip adduction moment, toe-out angle and step length (observed in one quintile) with the risk of OA progression in the knee, suggesting a potentially protective association with OA structural progression.
      Table IIISummary of the confirmed associations between baseline biomechanical metrics and variables with risk of OA onset or progression in the lower limb regions
      StudyLower limb regionBiomechanical variables/metrics associated with onset and/or progressionPositive association with OA progressionNegative association with OA progressionPositive association with OA onset
      Bennell et al., 2011
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      Medial tibialKAM impulse
      Brisson et al., 2017
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.
      Medial tibialPeak KAMооо
      KAM impulseооо
      Brisson & Gatti et al., 2021
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Gatti A.A.
      • Damm P.
      • Duda G.N.
      • Maly M.R.
      Association of machine learning based predictions of medial knee contact force with cartilage loss over 2.5 years in knee osteoarthritis.
      Medial tibiofemoralMedial contact force peak
      Chang et al., 2017
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      PatellofemoralKnee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness (DJS)
      Chang et al., 2015
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      Regions of the medial tibial and femoral weight-bearing surfacePeak KAM
      KAM impulse
      Chang et al., 2004
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      Medial tibiofemoralVarus thrust
      Chang et al., 2005
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Hip abduction moment and protection against medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis progression.
      Medial tibiofemoralExternal hip adduction moment
      Chang et al., 2007
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      Medial tibiofemoralToe-out angle
      Early stance peak KAM
      Chehab et al., 2014
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      Medial-lateral (femoral and tibial regions)Early stance peak KAM
      Peak KFM
      Walking speed
      Costello et al., 2020
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      Medial tibiofemoralMidstance KAM
      Midstance KRM
      Davis et al., 2019
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      Medial tibiofemoralEarly stance peak KAM
      Range of KRM throughout stance
      Erhart-Hledik et al., 2021
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      Medial tibialKnee extension moment
      Peak KAM
      Favre et al., 2016
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      Medial tibial and femoralMaximum knee flexion angle during heel strike and midstance
      Maximum anterior- posterior displacement of the femur during heel strike and swing
      Hart et al., 2020
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      Patellofemoral

      Medial tibiofemoral
      Step rate
      Hatfield et al., 2015
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      KneeEarly-mid stance KAM difference in magnitude
      KAM overall magnitude
      Knee flexion/extension moment difference
      Hip adduction angle
      Ankle flexion angle (stance to swing difference)
      Ankle flexion moment (early-mid stance dorsiflexion magnitude)
      Ankle rotation moment (early-late stance difference)
      Kumar et al., 2017
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.
      HipEarly stance peak hip flexion angle
      Mahmoudian et al., 2017
      • Mahmoudian A.
      • van Dien J.H.
      • Bruijn S.M.
      • Baert I.A.C.
      • Faber G.S.
      • Luyten F.P.
      • et al.
      Dynamic and static knee alignment at baseline predict structural abnormalities on MRI associated with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis after 2 years.
      KneeKnee adduction angleооо
      Miyazaki et al., 2002
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      Medial tibiofemoralPeak KAM
      Sharma et al., 2017
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      Medial tibiofemoralVarus thrust
      Stefanik et al., 2016
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      PatellofemoralSecond largest step length quintile
      Tateuchi et al., 2017
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      Medial HipCumulative frontal hip joint moment
      Teng et al., 2015
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      PatellofemoralLate stance peak KFM
      Late stance KFM impulse
      Wink et al., 2017
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      Medial tibiofemoralVarus thrust
      KAM = knee adduction moment; KFM = knee flexion moment; KRM = knee rotation moment.
      ✓ = association.
      о = no association identified.
      Appendix D represents all reported biomechanical metrics and variables and their associations with OA disease onset and/or progression. A total of 25 biomechanical metrics were studied for the hip and knee joints, out of which 83 biomechanical variables were evaluated during specific gait cycle time-points.
      The majority of evidence supported an association between frontal, sagittal and transverse plane lower limb joint biomechanics and knee OA progression. For OA onset and progression in the medial tibiofemoral joint and individual regions within this compartment, positive associations were found with peak KAM values (5/8 cohorts), higher peak KAM
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      , higher early stance peak KAM
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      , KAM impulse (k = 2/4)
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      , presence of varus thrust (k = 3/3)
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      , and knee transverse plane moment (k = 2/3)
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      observed through structural worsening. For the patellofemoral joint, two studies investigated and reported positive associations for dynamic joint stiffness
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      , late stance peak KFM and KFM impulse in the second half of stance
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      . For the hip joint, hip flexion angle
      • Kumar D.
      • Wyatt C.
      • Lee S.
      • Okazaki N.
      • Chiba K.
      • Link T.M.
      • et al.
      Sagittal plane walking patterns are related to MRI changes over 18-months in people with and without mild-moderate hip osteoarthritis.
      and cumulative frontal plane moment
      • Tateuchi H.
      • Koyama Y.
      • Akiyama H.
      • Goto K.
      • So K.
      • Kuroda Y.
      • et al.
      Daily cumulative hip moment is associated with radiographic progression of secondary hip osteoarthritis.
      were associated with hip OA progression in one study each.

      Results of meta-analyses

      Due to variability of biomechanics and OA outcomes reported, meta-analyses could only be conducted on three biomechanical variables and their association with OA disease progression in the medial tibiofemoral joint. These included peak KAM, KAM impulse and varus thrust. For the KAM variable, three studies reported peak KAM
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      and two reported early stance peak KAM
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      . As the peak KAM frequently occurs during early stance
      • Simic M.
      • Hunt M.A.
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Hinman R.S.
      • Wrigley T.V.
      Trunk lean gait modification and knee joint load in people with medial knee osteoarthritis: the effect of varying trunk lean angles.
      , we thought it was relevant to pool these studies for meta-analysis. The GRADE quality of evidence for all main analyses are shown in Table IV.
      Table IVGRADE summary of findings
      Biomechanical metric/variableOutcomeParticipants (n)Number of studiesOR (95% CI)Risk of bias (study limitations)InconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionPublication biasOverall quality of evidence
      Early stance peak KAM
      There is low quality evidence to suggest that early stance peak KAM was associated with increased odds of medial tibiofemoral OA progression. There was risk of bias present in the assessment of individual studies, and increased incosistency/heterogenity in the meta-analysis. There was dispersion in the sample sizes and therefore, publication bias was detected.
      Medial tibiofemoral progression6015
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      1.88 (1.08, 3.29)Serious limitationsSerious limitationsNo serious limitationsNo serious limitationsPublication bias detectedLow quality
      Early stance peak KAM
      There is moderate quality evidence to suggest that early stance peak KAM was associated with increased odds of radiographic outcomes of medial tibiofemoral OA progression. There was risk of bias present in individual studies, and moderate inconsistency present in the meta-analsysis. However, the exposure and outcome methods were relavant to the clinical OA population. Whilst publication bias was difficult to assess due to the small number of studies, we decided that there was low bias present as the studies assessed other prognostic factors.
      Radiographic outcomes of medial tibiofemoral progression2073
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      3.53 (1.47, 8.48)Serious limitationsSerious limitationsNo serious limitationsNo serious limitationsPublication bias undetectedModerate quality
      Varus thrust
      There is moderate quality evidence to suggest that varus thrust is associated with increased odds of medial tibiofermoral OA progression. The meta-analysis had a moderate-large effect size, with individual studies having low risk of bias in the assessment. The prognostic factor and imaging outcome were also relevant to the clinical OA population. It was difficult to assess for publication bias given the small number of studies, however, the studies were dispersed and additional secondary analyses were conducted in large samples, therefore publication bias was undetected.
      Medial tibiofemoral progression8,0593
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      1.97 (1.32, 2.96)No serious limitationsSerious limitationsNo serious limitationsNo serious limitationsPublication bias undetectedModerate quality
      Overall quality of evidence.
      There is low quality evidence to suggest that early stance peak KAM was associated with increased odds of medial tibiofemoral OA progression. There was risk of bias present in the assessment of individual studies, and increased incosistency/heterogenity in the meta-analysis. There was dispersion in the sample sizes and therefore, publication bias was detected.
      There is moderate quality evidence to suggest that early stance peak KAM was associated with increased odds of radiographic outcomes of medial tibiofemoral OA progression. There was risk of bias present in individual studies, and moderate inconsistency present in the meta-analsysis. However, the exposure and outcome methods were relavant to the clinical OA population. Whilst publication bias was difficult to assess due to the small number of studies, we decided that there was low bias present as the studies assessed other prognostic factors.
      There is moderate quality evidence to suggest that varus thrust is associated with increased odds of medial tibiofermoral OA progression. The meta-analysis had a moderate-large effect size, with individual studies having low risk of bias in the assessment. The prognostic factor and imaging outcome were also relevant to the clinical OA population. It was difficult to assess for publication bias given the small number of studies, however, the studies were dispersed and additional secondary analyses were conducted in large samples, therefore publication bias was undetected.
      Greater magnitudes of early stance peak KAM were associated with increased odds of overall OA progression in the medial tibiofemoral joint (OR: 1.88 [95%CI: 1.08,3.29]; k = 5; average follow-up = 45months; n = 601; I2 = 73%, Fig. 2, low quality evidence) as determined by medial tibiofemoral BMLs, cartilage damage, cartilage defects, KL grade worsening and medial tibiofemoral JSN. Greater magnitudes of early stance peak KAM were associated with increased odds of radiographically-defined OA progression in the medial tibiofemoral joint (OR:3.53 [95%CI: 1.47, 8.48]; k = 3; average follow-up = 64 months; n = 207; I2 = 46%, Fig. 3, moderate quality evidence). Varus thrust presence was associated with increased odds of overall OA disease progression in the medial tibiofemoral joint (OR: 1.97 [95%CI: 1.32, 2.96]; k = 3; average follow-up = 54 months; n = 8,059; I2 = 76%, Fig. 4, moderate quality evidence).
      Fig. 2
      Fig. 2Meta-analysis for the association between early stance peak KAM and medial tibiofemoral OA progression. ∗ = bone marrow lesions and cartilage damage; Combined ꝋ = bone marrow lesions and cartilage defects; JSN = joint space narrowing; KAM = knee adduction moment; KL= Kellgren Lawrence grade.
      Fig. 3
      Fig. 3Meta-analysis for the association between early stance peak KAM and radiographic outcomes of medial tibiofemoral OA progression. JSN = Joint space narrowing; KAM = knee adduction moment; K&L = Kellgren Lawrence grade.
      Fig. 4
      Fig. 4Meta-analysis for the association between varus thrust and medial tibiofemoral OA progression. BML = bone marrow lesions; JSN = joint space narrowing.
      Findings from sensitivity analyses with <3 studies are reported in Appendix C. For early stance peak KAM, positive associations remained for MRI- defined BMLs (OR: 1.30 [95%CI: 1.02,1.66]; k = 2; average follow-up = 18 months; n = 394), but not for medial tibiofemoral JSN and cartilage damage or defects in the medial tibiofemoral joint. For KAM impulse, positive associations remained for increased medial tibiofemoral BMLs size (OR: 2.07 [95%CI: 1.17,3.68]; k = 2; average follow-up = 18 months; n = 394), but not for cartilage damage or defects. For the onset of medial tibiofemoral joint OA, varus thrust presence was not associated (OR: 1.08 [95%CI: 0.86,1.36]; k = 2 studies; average follow-up = 72 months; n = 7,822).

      Discussion

      This systematic review confirms that gait biomechanics are associated with increased odds of OA progression in the hip and knee joints over time. Results confirm that higher early stance peak KAM is associated with 1.88 greater odds of OA progression in the medial tibiofemoral joint (k = 5; n = 601; low quality evidence). We also identified that people who exhibited varus thrust had 1.97 greater odds of medial tibiofemoral OA progression (n = 8,059). Our review also suggests associations between biomechanics and OA progression in the hip and patellofemoral joints.
      Meta-analyses demonstrated that peak KAM, KAM impulse and varus thrust were positively associated with OA disease progression. The previous review by Henriksen et al.
      • Henriksen M.
      • Creaby M.W.
      • Lund H.
      • Juhl C.
      • Christensen R.
      Is there a causal link between knee loading and knee osteoarthritis progression? A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies and randomised trials.
      , found no significant association between peak KAM and medial tibiofemoral OA progression (OR: 1.90 [95%CI:0.85, 4.25]). The pooled meta-analysis for this previous review included a study
      • Woollard J.D.
      • Gil A.B.
      • Sparto P.
      • Kwoh C.K.
      • Piva S.R.
      • Farrokhi S.
      • et al.
      Change in knee cartilage volume in individuals completing a therapeutic exercise program for knee osteoarthritis.
      which had an active intervention present after baseline, and therefore was excluded from our review. Since 2014, additional studies have investigated the KAM
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Brisson N.M.
      • Wiebenga E.G.
      • Stratford P.W.
      • Beattie K.A.
      • Totterman S.
      • Tamez-Peña J.G.
      • et al.
      Baseline knee adduction moment interacts with body mass index to predict loss of medial tibial cartilage volume over 2.5 years in knee Osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      ,
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      , and our meta-analysis (k = 5) concluded that peak KAM was positively associated with OA progression in the medial tibiofemoral joint (low-quality evidence). Due to diversity in the KAM variables reported, our meta-analyses were limited to only include five studies. Overall, seven cohorts (9 out of 10 studies) which investigated the KAM variables found a greater risk of knee OA onset
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Asay J.L.
      • Favre J.
      • Chu C.R.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Longitudinal changes in tibial and femoral cartilage thickness are associated with baseline ambulatory kinetics and cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) measures in an asymptomatic aging population.
      and progression
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      with higher KAM values. The KAM impulse considers the magnitude and duration of the KAM over stance and may represent a better indicator of medial tibiofemoral joint loading. Whilst we identified a positive association between KAM impulse and 2.07 greater odds of worsening BMLs in the medial tibiofemoral joint, as only two studies were pooled, the strength of the predictive relationship is uncertain. Greater OA progression odds due to higher KAM values is supported by Trepcyznski et al.
      • Trepczynski A.
      • Kutzner I.
      • Bergmann G.
      • Taylor W.R.
      • Heller M.O.
      Modulation of the relationship between external knee adduction moments and medial joint contact forces across subjects and activities.
      , where medial to lateral loading imbalance was correlated with increased medial compressive forces in individuals who later underwent TKA.
      Our meta-analysis of low-quality evidence indicates that higher peak KAM values were associated with 1.88 increased odds of medial tibiofemoral OA progression, with the association size varying between studies. This may be due to follow-up time variability, or sensitivity of imaging outcomes. For instance, larger OR's were reported where follow-up time was greater than 24 months (OR range = 4.3–6.4)
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      , in comparison to a 12 month follow-up
      • Bennell K.L.
      • Bowles K.-A.
      • Wang Y.
      • Cicuttini F.
      • Davies-Tuck M.
      • Hinman R.S.
      Higher dynamic medial knee load predicts greater cartilage loss over 12 months in medial knee osteoarthritis.
      (OR: 1.31 [95%CI: 0.86,1.98]). It is also important to consider variability in baseline KAM metrics across studies, as studies
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • Hayes K.
      • et al.
      The relationship between toe-out angle during gait and progression of medial tibiofemoral osteoarthritis.
      that generally reported higher KAM values in participants also identified larger OR's. In this instance, developing a sensitivity threshold value for peak KAM may help identify individuals at greater risk of OA progression. Miyazaki et al.
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      , demonstrated that a peak KAM threshold of 5% BW∗Ht was 80% sensitive to detecting OA progression over 6 years
      • Miyazaki T.
      • Wada M.
      • Kawahara H.
      • Sato M.
      • Baba H.
      • Shimada S.
      Dynamic load at baseline can predict radiographic disease progression in medial compartment knee osteoarthritis.
      . As this was the only study to provide a threshold, further studies are needed to confirm threshold values for evaluating OA progression risk. The variability in findings may also be explained by 1) different imaging methods, 2) different joint regions examined, 3) different joint structures (e.g., cartilage defects, BMLs), 4) variability in the imaging outcomes used and 5) time-frames to detect structural changes. For instance, Chang et al.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      , found associations between higher peak KAM values with cartilage loss in the subregions of the knee but did not find an association for the medial tibiofemoral joint as a whole. Further research using standardised imaging outcome measurements are needed to quantify the size of the increased odds more accurately.
      Varus thrust is proposed to acutely increase medial tibiofemoral loading via an abrupt lateral shift of the knee during stance, followed by return to a less varus alignment during swing
      • Issa S.
      • Sharma L.
      Epidemiology of osteoarthritis: an update.
      and is associated with structural OA progression. Our meta-analysis (k = 3)
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Chang A.
      • Hayes K.
      • Dunlop D.
      • Hurwitz D.
      • Song J.
      • Cahue S.
      • et al.
      Thrust during ambulation and the progression of knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      of moderate quality evidence demonstrated a positive association between varus thrust and increased medial tibiofemoral loading with a 97% increased odds for medial tibiofemoral OA progression. These studies visually identified, and dichotomously categorised varus thrust (present or absent). Two of these studies
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      ,
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      investigated the association between varus thrust and disease onset with differential results. Wink et al.
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      , used MRI outcomes to define disease onset and confirmed an association between varus thrust and presence of BMLs in the medial tibiofemoral joint over 24 months, though the same was not found for other imaging outcomes
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      . Sharma et al.
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      , used radiographic assessment and defined disease onset as incident KL grade ≥2 and found no association with disease onset over 84 months. As the studies used different imaging tools to assess and define disease onset, it was difficult to combine these results. The WORMS scoring tool used in Wink et al.
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      , may be more sensitive to detecting presence of BMLs
      • Wink A.E.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Brown C.A.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Roemer F.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust during walking and the risk of incident and worsening medial tibiofemoral MRI lesions: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.
      , as opposed to identifying a whole-grade change in KL grading in Sharma et al.
      • Sharma L.
      • Chang A.H.
      • Jackson R.D.
      • Nevitt M.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Hochberg M.
      • et al.
      Varus thrust and incident and progressive knee osteoarthritis.
      ,. Further studies using a standardised imaging tool are required to determine if an association exists between varus thrust presence and knee OA onset.
      Sagittal and transverse plane biomechanical metrics were also found to be associated with increased risk of medial tibiofemoral OA progression; however, data could not be pooled for meta-analyses due to the small number of findings. Three studies evaluated transverse plane metrics and two of these
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      found an association between midstance knee rotation moment (KRM)
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      and KRM range
      • Davis E.M.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      • Landry S.C.
      • Ikeda D.M.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      Longitudinal evidence links joint level mechanics and muscle activation patterns to 3-year medial joint space narrowing.
      with medial tibiofemoral JSN. This supports findings from in vitro studies which demonstrate shear loading and the negative effect on cartilage integrity
      • Lee M.S.
      • Trindade M.C.D.
      • Ikenoue T.
      • Schurman D.J.
      • Goodman S.B.
      • Smith R.L.
      Effects of shear stress on nitric oxide and matrix protein gene expression in human osteoarthritic chondrocytes in vitro.
      . Of the four studies which investigated sagittal plane kinetics for the medial tibiofemoral joint
      • Chang A.H.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Eckstein F.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • et al.
      External knee adduction and flexion moments during gait and medial tibiofemoral disease progression in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      ,
      • Costello K.E.
      • Astephen Wilson J.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Urquhart N.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Differences in baseline joint moments and muscle activation patterns associated with knee osteoarthritis progression when defined using a clinical versus a structural outcome.
      , one study
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline knee adduction and flexion moments during walking are both associated with 5 year cartilage changes in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis.
      found an association between KFM and cartilage loss and the other
      • Hatfield G.L.
      • Stanish W.D.
      • Hubley-Kozey C.L.
      Three-dimensional biomechanical gait characteristics at baseline are associated with progression to total knee arthroplasty.
      with progression to TKA. For sagittal plane kinematics, one study
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      identified an association between maximum knee flexion angle and increased femoral anterior-posterior displacement with medial tibiofemoral OA progression, suggesting that kinematic changes in heel strike and midstance may increase medial knee contact forces
      • Favre J.
      • Erhart-Hledik J.C.
      • Chehab E.F.
      • Andriacchi T.P.
      Baseline ambulatory knee kinematics are associated with changes in cartilage thickness in osteoarthritic patients over 5 years.
      . Future studies should investigate the associations of sagittal and transverse plane biomechanics with medial tibiofemoral OA progression.
      For patellofemoral OA, four studies
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      ,
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      ,
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      found associations between biomechanical metrics and patellofemoral OA progression. Two studies
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      ,
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      investigated knee sagittal plane metrics, and found KFM
      • Teng H.-L.
      • Macleod T.D.
      • Link T.M.
      • Majumdar S.
      • Souza R.B.
      Higher knee flexion moment during the second half of the stance phase of gait is associated with the progression of osteoarthritis of the patellofemoral joint on magnetic resonance imaging.
      and dynamic joint stiffness
      • Chang A.H.
      • Chmiel J.S.
      • Almagor O.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Prasad P.V.
      • Moisio K.C.
      • et al.
      Association of baseline knee sagittal dynamic joint stiffness during gait and 2-year patellofemoral cartilage damage worsening in knee osteoarthritis.
      to be associated with patellofemoral progression. It has been postulated that a higher KFM is associated with increased patellofemoral joint reaction forces
      • Loudon J.K.
      Biomechanics and pathomechanics of the patellofemoral joint.
      which may contribute to patellofemoral joint disease progression. Two additional studies
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      ,
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      also investigated spatiotemporal metrics and found that a lower step rate was associated with lateral patellofemoral OA progression
      • Hart H.F.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Crossley K.M.
      • Barton C.J.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Guermazi A.
      • et al.
      Step rate and worsening of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral joint osteoarthritis in women and men: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      whilst a larger step length may have protective effects, however this was only identified in the second largest step length quintile and therefore possibly a chance finding
      • Stefanik J.J.
      • Gross K.D.
      • Guermazi A.
      • Felson D.T.
      • Roemer F.W.
      • Niu J.
      • et al.
      Relation of step length to magnetic resonance imaging–detected structural damage in the patellofemoral joint: the multicenter osteoarthritis study.
      . As patellofemoral joint OA is largely prevalent (present in more than half of individuals with knee OA)
      • Kobayashi S.
      • Pappas E.
      • Fransen M.
      • Refshauge K.
      • Simic M.
      The prevalence of patellofemoral osteoarthritis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.