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Review| Volume 16, ISSUE 4, P399-408, April 2008

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Symptomatic efficacy of avocado–soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) in osteoarthritis (OA) patients: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Open ArchivePublished:November 26, 2007DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joca.2007.10.003

      Summary

      Objective

      To evaluate the efficacy of preparations with avocado–soybean unsaponifiables (ASUs) in osteoarthritis (OA) patients using meta-analysis on randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

      Method

      RCTs from systematic searches were included if they explicitly stated that hip and/or knee OA patients were randomized to either ASU or placebo. The co-primary outcome was reduction in pain and Lequesne index, leading to effect size (ES), calculated as the standardized mean difference. As secondary analysis, the number of responders to therapy was analyzed as odds ratios (ORs). Restricted maximum likelihood methods were applied for the meta-analyses, using mixed effects models.

      Results

      Four trials – all supported by the manufacturer – were included, with 664 OA patients with either hip (41.4%) or knee (58.6%) OA allocated to either 300 mg ASU (336) or placebo (328). Average trial duration was 6 months (range: 3–12 months). Though based on heterogeneous results, the combined pain reduction favored ASU (I2=83.5%, ES=0.39 [95% confidence intervals: 0.01–0.76], P=0.04). Applying the Lequesne index also favored ASU (I2=61.0%, ES=0.45 [0.21–0.70], P=0.0003). Secondarily, the number of responders following ASU compared to placebo (OR=2.19, P=0.007) corresponded to a number needed to treat of six (4–21) patients.

      Conclusions

      Based on the available evidence, patients may be recommended to give ASU a chance for e.g., 3 months. Meta-analysis data support better chances of success in patients with knee OA than in those with hip OA.

      Key words

      Introduction

      Musculoskeletal diseases are prevalent and their impact is pervasive, affecting all age groups, and the associated physical disability is an enormous burden on individuals and society
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      . The socio-economic cost due to musculoskeletal conditions is huge, predominantly due to back pain, osteoarthritis (OA) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA)
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      Healthcare services for those with musculoskeletal conditions: a rheumatology service. Recommendations of the European Union of Medical Specialists Section of Rheumatology/European Board of Rheumatology 2006.
      . Pain is the major symptom in most arthritis patients
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      , and is also the most important determinant of disability in patients with OA
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      Pain and disability in patients with osteoarthritis of hip or knee: the relationship with articular, kinesiological, and psychological characteristics.
      . The prevalence of painful disabling knee OA in people over 54 years living in the United Kingdom is 10%, and 25% of these are severely disabled
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      . With an estimated prevalence of 3–11% in Western populations over 35 years, hip OA is the second-most frequent OA in large joints
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      EULAR evidence based recommendations for the management of hip osteoarthritis: report of a task force of the EULAR Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutics (ESCISIT).
      . Current OA treatment aims at alleviating pain symptoms in different ways
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      Pathogenesis and management of pain in osteoarthritis.
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      OARSI recommendations for the management of hip and knee osteoarthritis, part I: critical appraisal of existing treatment guidelines and systematic review of current research evidence.
      . With rough categorization, the treatment is one of three types: non-pharmacological intervention, pharmacological treatment, or invasive/surgical intervention (including intra-articular injections, lavage, and arthroplasty)
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      • Dieppe P.
      • et al.
      EULAR Recommendations 2003: an evidence based approach to the management of knee osteoarthritis: report of a Task Force of the Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutic Trials (ESCISIT).
      • Zhang W.
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      • et al.
      EULAR evidence based recommendations for the management of hip osteoarthritis: report of a task force of the EULAR Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutics (ESCISIT).
      • Zhang W.
      • Moskowitz R.W.
      • Nuki G.
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      • Arden N.
      • et al.
      OARSI recommendations for the management of hip and knee osteoarthritis, part I: critical appraisal of existing treatment guidelines and systematic review of current research evidence.
      .
      Complementary or alternative therapies (including nutraceuticals) for OA are commonly used, and it is therefore important that health care providers are aware of the evidence supporting the claims
      • Ernst E.
      Complementary or alternative therapies for osteoarthritis.
      . Available evidence would be easier to translate into clinical practice if the available (and published) data were analyzed and presented using an unbiased meta-analytic approach
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      Can meta-analyses be trusted?.
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      The role of meta-analysis in the regulatory process for foods, drugs, and devices.
      . One proposed nutraceutical, which has shown promising results in OA patients, is avocado–soybean unsaponifiables (ASUs). Currently, the only ASU mixture investigated is made up of unsaponifiable fractions of one-third avocado oil and two-third soybean oil. Preclinical studies of ASU have shown some anti-OA properties. In vitro, ASU is seen to have an inhibitory effect on interleukin-1 (IL-1) and a stimulating effect on collagen synthesis in articular chondrocyte cultures
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      • Pujol J.P.
      Effects of unsaponifiable extracts of avocado/soy beans (PIAS) on the production of collagen by cultures of synoviocytes, articular chondrocytes and skin fibroblasts.
      . Data support the notion of ASU preparations as potent inhibitors of the production of IL-8 and prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) by human articular chondrocytes
      • Henrotin Y.E.
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      • Guillou G.B.
      • et al.
      Effects of three avocado/soybean unsaponifiable mixtures on metalloproteinases, cytokines and prostaglandin E2 production by human articular chondrocytes.
      . In vitro data have shown ASU to stimulate aggrecan and matrix component synthesis, reduce catabolic and pro-inflammatory mediator production by human osteoarthritic chondrocytes, and partially counteract the inhibitory effect of IL-1 (possibly via the production of transforming growth factor beta (TGF-β)) and growth factors associated with cartilage homeostasis
      • Boumediene K.
      • Felisaz N.
      • Bogdanowicz P.
      • Galera P.
      • Guillou G.B.
      • Pujol J.P.
      Avocado/soya unsaponifiables enhance the expression of transforming growth factor beta1 and beta2 in cultured articular chondrocytes.
      • Henrotin Y.E.
      • Sanchez C.
      • Deberg M.A.
      • Piccardi N.
      • Guillou G.B.
      • Msika P.
      • et al.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables increase aggrecan synthesis and reduce catabolic and proinflammatory mediator production by human osteoarthritic chondrocytes.
      . Accordingly, ASU seems to prevent the osteoarthritic osteoblast-induced inhibition of matrix molecule production, suggesting that this compound may promote OA cartilage repair by acting on subchondral bone osteoblasts
      • Henrotin Y.E.
      • Deberg M.A.
      • Crielaard J.M.
      • Piccardi N.
      • Msika P.
      • Sanchez C.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables prevent the inhibitory effect of osteoarthritic subchondral osteoblasts on aggrecan and type II collagen synthesis by chondrocytes.
      . Ernst reviewed the available data on the efficacy of ASU in OA patients and concluded that the majority of rigorous trials suggest that ASU is effective in the symptomatic treatment of OA, although the only long-term trial was largely negative, and thus more research would be justified
      • Ernst E.
      Avocado-soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) for osteoarthritis – a systematic review.
      . Ernst's conclusion corresponds to a review (in Danish) by Angermann, which concludes that the available studies indicate that ASU has an effect on the symptoms of knee and hip OA, but no effect on the structural changes occurring with OA
      • Angermann P.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of knee and hip osteoarthritis.
      .
      We carried out a systematic review with a meta-analysis of the available randomized controlled trials (RCTs)
      • Moher D.
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      • Olkin I.
      • Rennie D.
      • Stroup D.F.
      Improving the quality of reports of meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials: the QUOROM statement. Quality of reporting of meta-analyses.
      of studies applying ASU in the symptomatic treatment of OA. Our primary aim was to obtain an up-to-date evidence based analysis which would provide a detailed view of the symptomatic activity of ASU used in the treatment of knee and hip OA
      • Bellamy N.
      • Kirwan J.
      • Boers M.
      • Brooks P.
      • Strand V.
      • Tugwell P.
      • et al.
      Recommendations for a core set of outcome measures for future phase III clinical trials in knee, hip, and hand osteoarthritis. Consensus development at OMERACT III.
      • Dougados M.
      Monitoring osteoarthritis progression and therapy.
      . Our secondary aim was to investigate possible causes behind the statistical heterogeneity, emphasizing clinical heterogeneity across the included studies
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      Why sources of heterogeneity in meta-analysis should be investigated.
      . We used meta-regression analyses
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Higgins J.P.
      How should meta-regression analyses be undertaken and interpreted?.
      to implement clinical arguments, which could result in clinical inference
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Higgins J.P.
      Treating individuals 4: can meta-analysis help target interventions at individuals most likely to benefit?.
      .

      Methods

      Retrieval of published studies

      RCTs of ASU treatment vs placebo were identified by means of a systematic literature search in the following bibliographic databases: Medline via PubMed (mid 1950s to Feb. 19, 2007), EMBASE via WebSpirs (1980 to Feb. 19, 2007), CINAHL via WebSpirs (1982 to Feb. 19, 2007), BiosisPreviews via WebSpirs (1980 to Feb. 19, 2007), Web of Science (1945–54 to Feb. 19, 2007), Scifinder (1907 to Feb. 19, 2007), Scopus (1966 to Feb. 19, 2007), and the Cochrane Library (1966 to Jan. 31, 2007). This was followed by searches of reference lists of original reports and review articles, retrieved through the described searches. Finally, we searched conference abstracts over the past 2 years via the established international societies of rheumatology, i.e., the OsteoArthritis Research Society International (OARSI), EUropean League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) and the American College of Rheumatology (ACR).
      The search strategy consisted of the relevant keywords/MESH words for OA combined with any combination of ASU, soy or avocado for wide coverage and to limit the search to controlled studies to take into account that randomization is not always clearly defined via keywords, and that some controlled studies may be of interest despite lack of proper randomization. With the awareness of a higher proportion of noise in the searches, titles and abstracts were reviewed for possible RCTs, and full text references were obtained for further scrutiny where relevant.

      Inclusion and exclusion criteria

      We included RCTs comparing a preparation of both avocado and soybean extracts with a (double masked) placebo intervention. Studies were selected if the included patients were described as having clinical or radiographic evidence of OA. Two reviewers (RC and HB) crosschecked and agreed on diagnostic criteria in each trial. We excluded studies in conditions such as non-OA joint pain, RA, pain due to surgery or injury, and studies with mixed patient groups such as those with both OA and RA, unless the subgroup data for OA were available. No language restrictions applied.

      Quality assessment

      The quality of studies was assessed based on randomization, masking and withdrawal. The complete reports of the RCTs that were selected for inclusion in the meta-analysis were scored by two reviewers for quality (RC and EMB), using a validated instrument
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      Assessing the quality of reports of randomized clinical trials: is blinding necessary?.
      . The score was given as follows: if the study was described as randomized (+1); if the study was described as double masked (+1); and if there was a (detailed) description of withdrawals and drop-outs (+1). In addition, if the random allocation and the double blinding were properly described and appropriately put into practice, each item received one point extra. Conversely, if the methods (randomization and masking) were not considered appropriate, one point was subtracted from each item.

      Data extraction

      Two reviewers (RC and EMB) undertook data extraction independently. Disagreements were resolved by discussion. A customized form was used to record authors of the study, year of publication, trial design, study length, number of patients randomized (Ntotal), number of patients in each group included in the intention-to-treat (ITT) individual study statistical tests (nE and nC), average patient age, sex, site of OA (knee, hip or both) handled as the fraction (%) of patients with OA in the hip. For each of the continuous outcomes extracted, the level at baseline was estimated for the following: weighted-mean Kellgren–Lawrence (KL) (radiographic) score, body mass index (BMI), pain, and the Lequesne index.

      Outcome measures

      The primary outcome measure was the magnitude of pain reduction
      • Huskisson E.C.
      Measurement of pain.
      with ASU compared to placebo. In addition, we looked at other outcome measures in rheumatology (OMER) ACT-III relevant outcomes
      • Bellamy N.
      • Kirwan J.
      • Boers M.
      • Brooks P.
      • Strand V.
      • Tugwell P.
      • et al.
      Recommendations for a core set of outcome measures for future phase III clinical trials in knee, hip, and hand osteoarthritis. Consensus development at OMERACT III.
      , and the Lequesne index
      • Lequesne M.G.
      • Mery C.
      • Samson M.
      • Gerard P.
      Indexes of severity for osteoarthritis of the hip and knee. Validation-value in comparison with other assessment tests.
      , applied in all the individual RCTs, were used to evaluate the patients' global assessment
      • Dougados M.
      Monitoring osteoarthritis progression and therapy.
      . Finally, we extracted the reported number of responders per group after each intervention, ASU or placebo, respectively, for each included study.

      Statistical analysis

      For each of the continuous outcomes (pain and the Lequesne index), we calculated the z-statistics based on the available data, using standard formulae
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      Interaction revisited: the difference between two estimates.
      . Based on these z-statistics and the number of observations in each group, we estimated the standardized mean difference (SMD)
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      , which was applied as effect size (ES): the ratio of the treatment effect to the pooled standard deviation of these differences
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      . The variance (associated with the SMD value) was estimated based on the individual study SMD and the number of patients included (nE and nC)
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      Meta-analysis: formulating, evaluating, combining, and reporting.
      • Wang M.C.
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      . Clinically, ES0.2 is considered small, ES0.5 is moderate (and would probably be recognized clinically
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      Interpretation of changes in health-related quality of life: the remarkable universality of half a standard deviation.
      ), and ES0.8 is large
      • Jordan K.M.
      • Arden N.K.
      • Doherty M.
      • Bannwarth B.
      • Bijlsma J.W.
      • Dieppe P.
      • et al.
      EULAR Recommendations 2003: an evidence based approach to the management of knee osteoarthritis: report of a Task Force of the Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutic Trials (ESCISIT).
      • Zhang W.
      • Doherty M.
      • Arden N.
      • Bannwarth B.
      • Bijlsma J.
      • Gunther K.P.
      • et al.
      EULAR evidence based recommendations for the management of hip osteoarthritis: report of a task force of the EULAR Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutics (ESCISIT).
      . The odds ratio (OR) was estimated for the dichotomous efficacy data
      • Bland J.M.
      • Altman D.G.
      Statistics notes. The odds ratio.
      , i.e., based on the number of responders in each group. Based on the combined OR, we estimated the number needed to treat [NNT, with 95% confidence intervals (CI)], as it enables direct translation into clinical practice
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      • Tugwell P.
      Number needed to treat (NNT): implication in rheumatology clinical practice.
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      • Shea B.
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      Evidence-Based Rheumatology.
      . To adjust for the individual study “baseline risk”
      • Osiri M.
      • Suarez-Almazor M.E.
      • Wells G.A.
      • Robinson V.
      • Tugwell P.
      Number needed to treat (NNT): implication in rheumatology clinical practice.
      , we applied the weighted, pooled control event-rate
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      Simpson's paradox and calculation of number needed to treat from meta-analysis.
      • Altman D.G.
      • Deeks J.J.
      Meta-analysis, Simpson's paradox, and the number needed to treat.
      applying visual Rx
      • Edwards A.
      • Elwyn G.
      • Mulley A.
      Explaining risks: turning numerical data into meaningful pictures.
      . To combine the individual study results, we carried out meta-analyses, using SAS software
      • Wang M.C.
      • Bushman B.J.
      Integrating Results through Meta-Analytic Review Using SAS Software.
      (version 9.1.3), applying restricted maximum likelihood (REML) within a mixed effects model setting
      • Littell R.C.
      • Milliken G.A.
      • Stroup W.W.
      • Wolfinger R.D.
      • Schabenberger O.
      SAS for Mixed Models.
      . Maximum likelihood approaches in meta-analysis
      • Hardy R.J.
      • Thompson S.G.
      A likelihood approach to meta-analysis with random effects.
      • Stram D.O.
      Meta-analysis of published data using a linear mixed-effects model.
      enable the meta-analyst to print the solutions: the EB estimates
      • Raudenbush S.W.
      • Bryk A.S.
      Empirical Bayes meta-analysis.
      • Kass R.E.
      • Steffey D.
      Approximate Bayesian-inference in conditionally independent hierarchical-models (parametric empirical Bayes models).
      . This methodology has previously been informally validated and described in detail
      • Normand S.L.
      Meta-analysis: formulating, evaluating, combining, and reporting.
      • van Houwelingen H.C.
      • Arends L.R.
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      Advanced methods in meta-analysis: multivariate approach and meta-regression.
      . We examined heterogeneity between trials with a standard Q-test statistic, which follows a χ2 distribution
      • Cochran W.G.
      The combination of estimates from different experiments.
      , leading to the I2 statistic, i.e., the proportion of variance unexplained
      • Higgins J.P.
      • Thompson S.G.
      Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis.
      • Higgins J.P.
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Deeks J.J.
      • Altman D.G.
      Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses.
      . The I2 index quantifies the impact
      • Higgins J.P.
      • Thompson S.G.
      Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis.
      , rather than the extent (i.e., τ2)
      • Sidik K.
      • Jonkman J.N.
      A comparison of heterogeneity variance estimators in combining results of studies.
      of heterogeneity in a meta-analysis. It is important to include a priori defined ways to investigate potential sources of clinical heterogeneity, even when applying a random effects model by default
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Sharp S.J.
      Explaining heterogeneity in meta-analysis: a comparison of methods.
      . If this is not done, it might result in the exploratory investigations affecting the overall conclusions drawn
      • Thompson S.G.
      Why sources of heterogeneity in meta-analysis should be investigated.
      , based on spurious chance findings. We assessed the extent to which study level variables were associated with the ES and (loge) OR by fitting multiple REML based meta-regression models
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Sharp S.J.
      Explaining heterogeneity in meta-analysis: a comparison of methods.
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Higgins J.P.
      How should meta-regression analyses be undertaken and interpreted?.
      . A priori, we defined a relevant study level covariate
      • van Houwelingen H.C.
      • Arends L.R.
      • Stijnen T.
      Advanced methods in meta-analysis: multivariate approach and meta-regression.
      • Berkey C.S.
      • Hoaglin D.C.
      • Mosteller F.
      • Colditz G.A.
      A random-effects regression model for meta-analysis.
      as one that would decrease all three I2 statistics (one for each of the separate outcomes)
      • Berkey C.S.
      • Hoaglin D.C.
      • ntczak-Bouckoms A.
      • Mosteller F.
      • Colditz G.A.
      Meta-analysis of multiple outcomes by regression with random effects.
      as the between study variance for each outcome decline as a consequence of inclusion in the (mixed effects) statistical model. Although tempting, covariates with errors around the estimate (e.g., average age) would not be characterized as a detailed trial feature, thus predictive inference based on these should generally be discouraged in study level meta-regression analysis
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Higgins J.P.
      Treating individuals 4: can meta-analysis help target interventions at individuals most likely to benefit?.
      .

      Results

      Characteristics of trials

      The quality of reporting of meta-analyses (QUOROM) recommended flowchart
      • Moher D.
      • Cook D.J.
      • Eastwood S.
      • Olkin I.
      • Rennie D.
      • Stroup D.F.
      Improving the quality of reports of meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials: the QUOROM statement. Quality of reporting of meta-analyses.
      in Fig. 1 displays the eligibility details of the studies identified by the combined search strategy. After removing abstracts from studies with obviously irrelevant objectives/designs, a restricted set of potentially relevant articles and possibly relevant reviews were scrutinized and reviewed (k0=20) according to the inclusion/exclusion criteria
      • Henrotin Y.E.
      • Deberg M.A.
      • Crielaard J.M.
      • Piccardi N.
      • Msika P.
      • Sanchez C.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables prevent the inhibitory effect of osteoarthritic subchondral osteoblasts on aggrecan and type II collagen synthesis by chondrocytes.
      • Ernst E.
      Avocado-soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) for osteoarthritis – a systematic review.
      • Angermann P.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of knee and hip osteoarthritis.
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Caspard H.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) on joint space loss in hip osteoarthritis (HOA) over 2 years: a placebo controlled trial.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Maheu E.
      • Le L.X.
      • Loyau G.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      6-month symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) in knee and hip osteoarthritis (KOA and HOA).
      • Blotman F.
      • Maheu E.
      • Wulwik A.
      • Caspard H.
      • Lopez A.
      Efficacy and safety of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of symptomatic osteoarthritis of the knee and hip. A prospective, multicenter, three-month, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.
      • Maheu E.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Loyau G.
      • Le L.X.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      Symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip: a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial with a six-month treatment period and a two-month followup demonstrating a persistent effect.
      • Villani P.
      • Bouvenot G.
      Assessment of the placebo effect of symptomatic slow-acting anti-arthritics.
      • Reginster J.Y.
      • Gillot V.
      • Bruyere O.
      • Henrotin Y.
      Evidence of nutriceutical effectiveness in the treatment of osteoarthritis.
      • Appelboom T.
      • Schuermans J.
      • Verbruggen G.
      • Henrotin Y.
      • Reginster J.Y.
      Symptoms modifying effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) in knee osteoarthritis. A double blind, prospective, placebo-controlled study.
      • Little C.V.
      • Parsons T.
      Herbal therapy for treating osteoarthritis.
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      • Walker-Bone K.
      ‘Natural remedies’ in the treatment of osteoarthritis.
      • Soeken K.L.
      Selected CAM therapies for arthritis-related pain: the evidence from systematic reviews.
      • Arjmandi B.H.
      • Khalil D.A.
      • Lucas E.A.
      • Smith B.J.
      • Sinichi N.
      • Hodges S.B.
      • et al.
      Soy protein may alleviate osteoarthritis symptoms.
      • Chahade W.H.
      • Samara A.M.
      • Da Silva N.A.
      • Lederman R.
      • Seda H.
      • Radominski S.C.
      • et al.
      Efficacy and tolerability of unsaponifiables of avocado and soy in the treatment of symptomatic hip and knee osteoarthritis.
      • Ameye L.G.
      • Chee W.S.
      Osteoarthritis and nutrition. From nutraceuticals to functional foods: a systematic review of the scientific evidence.
      • McAlindon T.E.
      Nutraceuticals: do they work and when should we use them?.
      • Verbruggen G.
      Chondroprotective drugs in degenerative joint diseases.
      • Hatano K.
      • Miyakuni Y.
      • Hayashida K.
      • Nakagawa S.
      Effects and safety of soymilk beverage containing N-acetyl glucosamine on osteoarthritis.
      . Among these potential papers for inclusion, the majority was excluded for the following reasons: one paper was a review article assessing the placebo effect across several anti-arthritic preparations (among which ASU)
      • Villani P.
      • Bouvenot G.
      Assessment of the placebo effect of symptomatic slow-acting anti-arthritics.
      , nine of the papers were reviews focusing on herbs (and ASU) in general
      • Ernst E.
      Avocado-soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) for osteoarthritis – a systematic review.
      • Angermann P.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of knee and hip osteoarthritis.
      • Reginster J.Y.
      • Gillot V.
      • Bruyere O.
      • Henrotin Y.
      Evidence of nutriceutical effectiveness in the treatment of osteoarthritis.
      • Little C.V.
      • Parsons T.
      Herbal therapy for treating osteoarthritis.
      • Walker-Bone K.
      ‘Natural remedies’ in the treatment of osteoarthritis.
      • Soeken K.L.
      Selected CAM therapies for arthritis-related pain: the evidence from systematic reviews.
      • Ameye L.G.
      • Chee W.S.
      Osteoarthritis and nutrition. From nutraceuticals to functional foods: a systematic review of the scientific evidence.
      • McAlindon T.E.
      Nutraceuticals: do they work and when should we use them?.
      • Verbruggen G.
      Chondroprotective drugs in degenerative joint diseases.
      , and one article was based on an in vitro study
      • Henrotin Y.E.
      • Deberg M.A.
      • Crielaard J.M.
      • Piccardi N.
      • Msika P.
      • Sanchez C.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables prevent the inhibitory effect of osteoarthritic subchondral osteoblasts on aggrecan and type II collagen synthesis by chondrocytes.
      . Accordingly, these papers were excluded after thorough reading and examined for further studies that might be revealed in their references. Of the nine remaining, potentially possible RCTs: one study was excluded due to not applying a relevant intervention/control group
      • Hatano K.
      • Miyakuni Y.
      • Hayashida K.
      • Nakagawa S.
      Effects and safety of soymilk beverage containing N-acetyl glucosamine on osteoarthritis.
      , another paper used a soy-only preparation
      • Arjmandi B.H.
      • Khalil D.A.
      • Lucas E.A.
      • Smith B.J.
      • Sinichi N.
      • Hodges S.B.
      • et al.
      Soy protein may alleviate osteoarthritis symptoms.
      , and one (although large scale) study was omitted due to use of an open-label (non-randomized) design, without a proper control group
      • Chahade W.H.
      • Samara A.M.
      • Da Silva N.A.
      • Lederman R.
      • Seda H.
      • Radominski S.C.
      • et al.
      Efficacy and tolerability of unsaponifiables of avocado and soy in the treatment of symptomatic hip and knee osteoarthritis.
      . After a second reading, we decided to exclude yet two abstracts
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Caspard H.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) on joint space loss in hip osteoarthritis (HOA) over 2 years: a placebo controlled trial.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Maheu E.
      • Le L.X.
      • Loyau G.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      6-month symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) in knee and hip osteoarthritis (KOA and HOA).
      , as they presented preliminary data from RCTs later published in full
      • Maheu E.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Loyau G.
      • Le L.X.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      Symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip: a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial with a six-month treatment period and a two-month followup demonstrating a persistent effect.
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      .
      Figure thumbnail gr1
      Fig. 1Flow of RCTs included in the systematic review.
      As a result we obtained four trials
      • Blotman F.
      • Maheu E.
      • Wulwik A.
      • Caspard H.
      • Lopez A.
      Efficacy and safety of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of symptomatic osteoarthritis of the knee and hip. A prospective, multicenter, three-month, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.
      • Maheu E.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Loyau G.
      • Le L.X.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      Symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip: a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial with a six-month treatment period and a two-month followup demonstrating a persistent effect.
      • Appelboom T.
      • Schuermans J.
      • Verbruggen G.
      • Henrotin Y.
      • Reginster J.Y.
      Symptoms modifying effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) in knee osteoarthritis. A double blind, prospective, placebo-controlled study.
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      that fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were included in the meta-analysis. All studies were supported by the Laboratoires Expanscience, Courbevoie, France: applying PIASCLEDINE®300 (avocado:soybean ratio 1:2). These four studies represent 664 OA patients with hip (41.4%) and knee (58.6%) joint affected, randomly allocated to either one capsule a day containing 300 mg ASU (nE=336) or an identical masked placebo (nC=328). The (Ntotal) weighted-mean trial duration corresponded to a 6-month trial on average, generally assessed in high quality studies (weighted-average Jadad: 4.5). Patient characteristics are presented in Table I.
      Table ICharacteristics of included RCTs: ASU for knee and hip OA
      TrialITT population (number)OA (%hip)QS (score)Duration (months)Age (years)Females (%)Mean BMI (kg/m2)Mean KL (score)Mean pain (0–100 mmVAS)Mean Lequesne (index)Definite sample size (ITT)
      nEnC
      Blotman et al.
      • Blotman F.
      • Maheu E.
      • Wulwik A.
      • Caspard H.
      • Lopez A.
      Efficacy and safety of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of symptomatic osteoarthritis of the knee and hip. A prospective, multicenter, three-month, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.
      163385364.1108 (66%)25.52.053.28.78083
      Maheu et al.
      • Maheu E.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Loyau G.
      • Le L.X.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      Symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip: a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial with a six-month treatment period and a two-month followup demonstrating a persistent effect.
      164315664.1118 (72%)26.82.156.19.68579
      Appelboom et al.
      • Appelboom T.
      • Schuermans J.
      • Verbruggen G.
      • Henrotin Y.
      • Reginster J.Y.
      Symptoms modifying effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) in knee osteoarthritis. A double blind, prospective, placebo-controlled study.
      17403364.9140 (81%)28.82.053.99.48688
      Lequesne et al.
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      16310051263.261 (37%)25.92.050.29.58578
      Combined664
      Calculated as the sum of the values above.
      41
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      4.5
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      6
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      64.1
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      107 (64%)
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      26.8
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      2.0
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      53.4
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      9.3
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.
      336
      Calculated as the sum of the values above.
      328
      Calculated as the sum of the values above.
      QS: quality score (Jadad) (ranging from 0 to 5); KL: radiographic score (estimated as the weighted-mean); nE and nC are the number of individuals in the exposed and control group (i.e., ASU and placebo), respectively.
      Calculated as the sum of the values above.
      Estimated as the pooled mean value, calculated as a weighted-average based on the number of patients included in each study.

      Efficacy

      Figure 2(A) shows the ES in pain reduction with ASU vs placebo. Pooling the data from the four individual trials reporting pain as an explicit outcome produced a REML based (i.e., random effects model) combined ES of 0.39 (95% CI: 0.01–0.76, P=0.04), supporting efficacy of ASU as opposed to placebo. The result is based on studies showing a severe impact of heterogeneity (I2=83.5%) with a between study variance of more than zero (τ20.1202). Therefore possible sources of heterogeneity need to be investigated. Figure 2(B) shows the ES in the algo-functional Lequesne index reduction with ASU vs placebo. Pooling the data from the four individual trials reporting Lequesne as an explicit outcome produced a highly significant REML based (i.e., random effects model) combined ES of 0.45 (95% CI: 0.21–0.70, P=0.0003). This strongly supports efficacy of ASU treatment as opposed to placebo. The result is based on studies showing a large impact of heterogeneity (I2=61.0%) with a between study variance of more than zero (τ20.0380). Accordingly, possible sources of heterogeneity should therefore be investigated. Figure 2(C) shows the OR corresponding to the number of patients responding to treatment, that is, the number (rE and rC) each individual RCT explicitly reports on responders to treatment. Pooling the data from the four individual trials produced a significant REML based (i.e., random effects model) combined OR of 2.19 (95% CI: 1.24–3.86, P=0.007), in favor of ASU opposed to placebo, as more patients responded to therapy. By adjusting this OR with the weighted, pooled control event-rate of 33.4%, data correspond to a NNT of six (95% CI: 4–21) patients. The result is based on studies showing a large impact of heterogeneity (I2=68.9%) with a between study variance of more than zero (τ20.2324). Accordingly, possible sources of heterogeneity should be investigated.
      Figure thumbnail gr2
      Fig. 2Forest-plots of trials comparing ASU with placebo on pain, Lequesne, and the number of responders to treatment, respectively; size of every circle is proportional to the precision of each efficacy estimate.

      Exploring clinical heterogeneity

      As presented in Table II, the available study level covariates reduce (or increase) the between study variance in several ways. This is why we focused solely on covariates that are able to reduce the impact of heterogeneity for all outcome measures (pain, Lequesne, and number of responders) simultaneously: %patients with hip OA, duration of the individual trial, average patient age, %females in the included population, and finally the average level of pain at baseline. The covariates: “average patient age” and the “average level of pain” in the four existing trials had very similar values; hence they would probably be irrelevant to explain the heterogeneity between trials, except for possible cases where individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis is applicable. Based on these post hoc statistical considerations, details on the joint affected and study duration were considered applicable for clinical practice. These were included in the explicit post hoc meta-regression analyses presented in Fig. 3. Please see the Appendix for a detailed description of EB estimates after inclusion of both covariates simultaneously.
      Table IIStatistical data explaining possible clinical reasons for heterogeneity among available study level covariates
      OutcomeES: painES: Lequesneloge(OR): responders
      Variableτ2=0.120I2=83.5%τ2=0.038I2=61.0%τ2=0.232I2=68.9% (%)
      %Hip OA≤0≤0≤0≤0≤0≤0
      Jadad QS0.03927.10.06198.40.32496.2
      Duration0.07451.10.0046.4≤0≤0
      Age≤0≤00.01016.60.0195.5
      %Females0.0117.8≤0≤0≤0≤0
      BMI0.01510.70.05182.20.31593.5
      KL score0.160>1000.05689.40.398>100
      Pain0.01068.2≤0≤00.06519.3
      Lequesne0.187>1000.068>1000.33198.0
      Figure thumbnail gr3
      Fig. 3Meta-regression relations: ESs (ESpain, ESLequesne, and ORresponders) on the vertical axis are plotted against the %hip OA patients included (A, C, and E) and trial duration (B, D, and F), respectively. Size of every circle is proportional to the precision of each efficacy estimate. The solid line indicates the predicted treatment magnitude and direction, whereas the dashed lines represent 95% CI using a REML based model.

      Discussion

      Trials applying the ASU preparation from Laboratoires Expanscience (PIASCLEDINE®300) for knee or hip OA collectively demonstrated small to moderate treatment effects on symptoms (i.e., pain and Lequesne index). Patients receiving ASU were twice as likely to respond to treatment than patients allocated to placebo. The pooled ES for pain reduction comparing ASU to placebo was 0.39, which according to current European standards represents a modest but clinically significant treatment benefit from ASU
      • Jordan K.M.
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      • Dieppe P.
      • et al.
      EULAR Recommendations 2003: an evidence based approach to the management of knee osteoarthritis: report of a Task Force of the Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutic Trials (ESCISIT).
      • Zhang W.
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      • et al.
      EULAR evidence based recommendations for the management of hip osteoarthritis: report of a task force of the EULAR Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutics (ESCISIT).
      . Translated into an average European knee and hip OA patient
      • Tubach F.
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      • et al.
      Evaluation of clinically relevant changes in patient reported outcomes in knee and hip osteoarthritis: the minimal clinically important improvement.
      • Tubach F.
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      • Baron G.
      • Falissard B.
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      • et al.
      Evaluation of clinically relevant states in patient reported outcomes in knee and hip osteoarthritis: the patient acceptable symptom state.
      , this estimate would correspond to a 6.3 (10.7%) and 6.4 (11.3%) mm visual analog scale (VAS) pain reduction, respectively. Our secondary analysis showed that patients prescribed ASU will be more likely respond to therapy, than patients treated with placebo. These data indicate that on a major public health scale
      • Woolf A.D.
      Healthcare services for those with musculoskeletal conditions: a rheumatology service. Recommendations of the European Union of Medical Specialists Section of Rheumatology/European Board of Rheumatology 2006.
      , one patient of six treated with ASU will benefit from the treatment.
      Clinical trials and meta-analyses have mostly addressed the question of how well a treatment works overall. Both these approaches, while useful in estimating a population effect, do not show how to treat individuals
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Higgins J.P.
      Treating individuals 4: can meta-analysis help target interventions at individuals most likely to benefit?.
      ; patients often respond differently to treatment. To address this diversity, meta-analyses need to evolve from simple pooling to multidimensional exploration, creating response surface models to summarize evidence along multiple covariates of interest
      • Lau J.
      • Ioannidis J.P.
      • Schmid C.H.
      Summing up evidence: one answer is not always enough.
      . As presented in the Appendix, EB estimates indicated that after 6 months' ASU treatment, knee OA patients would experience a large clinical effect on pain reduction (ES: 0.99 [0.54–1.44]), whereas the same statistical model revealed that hip OA patients might not experience any pain relief after ASU therapy (ES: −0.44 [−1.05–+0.17]). The clinician will typically be interested in the target joint rather than the sex of the patient. We admit though that knee OA may be associated with female gender in contrast to hip OA in males
      • Srikanth V.K.
      • Fryer J.L.
      • Zhai G.
      • Winzenberg T.M.
      • Hosmer D.
      • Jones G.
      A meta-analysis of sex differences prevalence, incidence and severity of osteoarthritis.
      .
      How is this diversity possible? The majority of rigorously selected individual trial data available to date, suggests that ASU is effective for the symptomatic treatment of OA
      • Blotman F.
      • Maheu E.
      • Wulwik A.
      • Caspard H.
      • Lopez A.
      Efficacy and safety of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of symptomatic osteoarthritis of the knee and hip. A prospective, multicenter, three-month, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.
      • Maheu E.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Loyau G.
      • Le L.X.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      Symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip: a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial with a six-month treatment period and a two-month followup demonstrating a persistent effect.
      • Appelboom T.
      • Schuermans J.
      • Verbruggen G.
      • Henrotin Y.
      • Reginster J.Y.
      Symptoms modifying effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) in knee osteoarthritis. A double blind, prospective, placebo-controlled study.
      even though the only long-term (hip OA only) trial
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      had a largely negative result
      • Ernst E.
      Avocado-soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) for osteoarthritis – a systematic review.
      . To assess the clinical question we might turn to the study by Maheu et al.
      • Maheu E.
      • Mazieres B.
      • Valat J.P.
      • Loyau G.
      • Le L.X.
      • Bourgeois P.
      • et al.
      Symptomatic efficacy of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip: a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial with a six-month treatment period and a two-month followup demonstrating a persistent effect.
      – which we have categorized as a high quality study (Table I), and it presented detailed joint specific summary statistics for both knee and hip OA patients after 6 months' ASU treatment. The observed post hoc calculated clinical improvement with regard to pain reduction after 6 months' ASU therapy corresponded to a significant moderate to large clinical improvement (ES=0.69 [95% CI: 0.13–1.26]; P=0.02) in hip OA patients, whereas the borderline significant improvement in knee OA patients corresponded to a small to moderate efficacy (ES=0.35 [−0.02–0.72]; P=0.07). Compared to our empirical prediction model, we interpret this contradictory result as a consequence of having the only long-term study (≥1 year) by Lequesne et al.
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      providing the meta-analysis model with the only 100% hip OA population. From a statistical viewpoint, trial duration would be characterized as a detailed trial feature (without any error around the estimate, as a consequence of the original RCT study protocol); accordingly, predictive inference based on meta-regression would be considered sufficient
      • Thompson S.G.
      • Higgins J.P.
      Treating individuals 4: can meta-analysis help target interventions at individuals most likely to benefit?.
      . Conversely, the clinical efficacy×joint interaction might lead to a better statistical model on average (i.e., reducing the between trial variability), whereas the predictive model most certainly calls for an IPD meta-analysis
      • Higgins J.P.
      • Whitehead A.
      • Turner R.M.
      • Omar R.Z.
      • Thompson S.G.
      Meta-analysis of continuous outcome data from individual patients.
      . In general, meta-regression – which we used – can be used to estimate such interactions using detailed published data, but it lacks statistical power, and is prone to bias, whereas the use of IPD can improve estimation of such interactions, among other benefits, but it can be laborious to collect and analyze
      • Simmonds M.C.
      • Higgins J.P.
      Covariate heterogeneity in meta-analysis: criteria for deciding between meta-regression and individual patient data.
      .
      Supportive data of a disease-modifying anti-OA activity of ASU have been presented in animal studies. A recent placebo-controlled animal study by Kawcak et al. evaluated the efficacy of ASU extracts for the treatment of experimentally induced OA in 16 horses
      • Kawcak C.E.
      • Frisbie D.D.
      • McIlwraith C.W.
      • Werpy N.M.
      • Park R.D.
      Evaluation of avocado and soybean unsaponifiable extracts for treatment of horses with experimentally induced osteoarthritis.
      . ASU extracts given for 70 days had no effect on signs of pain or lameness; however, there was a reduction in severity of articular cartilage erosion and synovial hemorrhage and increase in articular cartilage glycosaminoglycan synthesis
      • Kawcak C.E.
      • Frisbie D.D.
      • McIlwraith C.W.
      • Werpy N.M.
      • Park R.D.
      Evaluation of avocado and soybean unsaponifiable extracts for treatment of horses with experimentally induced osteoarthritis.
      . These objective data lead the authors to conclude that the use of ASU extracts might serve as a disease-modifying treatment for management of OA in horses. Similarly, in an ovine meniscectomy animal model an anabolic effect on chondrocytes was demonstrated, resulting in the stimulation of matrix production
      • Cake M.A.
      • Read R.A.
      • Guillou B.
      • Ghosh P.
      Modification of articular cartilage and subchondral bone pathology in an ovine meniscectomy model of osteoarthritis by avocado and soya unsaponifiables (ASU).
      .
      The biochemical pathway associated with the possible efficacy of ASU in OA has not been clarified. In a recent paper by Gabay et al. the effect of ASU on chondrocyte intracellular responses was examined, suggesting a novel mechanism of ASU-mediated activity
      • Gabay O.
      • Gosset M.
      • Levy A.
      • Salvat C.
      • Sanchez C.
      • Pigenet A.
      • et al.
      Stress-induced signaling pathways in hyalin chondrocytes: inhibition by avocado-soybean unsaponifiables (ASU).
      . Their results indicated that ASU might express a unique range of activities, which could counteract deleterious processes involved in OA, such as inflammation. However, as emphasized by the authors more studies are needed to substantiate this possible mode of action in a clinical setting. Since the concentration of ASU in blood and synovial fluid is not known – and ASU is composed of different components – the activity of the various components needs to be determined before defining the optimal ASU concentration for future experiments
      • Gabay O.
      • Gosset M.
      • Levy A.
      • Salvat C.
      • Sanchez C.
      • Pigenet A.
      • et al.
      Stress-induced signaling pathways in hyalin chondrocytes: inhibition by avocado-soybean unsaponifiables (ASU).
      .
      Oral non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs are widely used in OA without proven long-term efficacy
      • Lee C.
      • Straus W.L.
      • Balshaw R.
      • Barlas S.
      • Vogel S.
      • Schnitzer T.J.
      A comparison of the efficacy and safety of nonsteroidal antiinflammatory agents versus acetaminophen in the treatment of osteoarthritis: a meta-analysis.
      . In this context, the results with ASU indicate a relevant clinical effect with a short term, general ES larger than other medica
      • Zhang W.
      • Doherty M.
      • Arden N.
      • Bannwarth B.
      • Bijlsma J.
      • Gunther K.P.
      • et al.
      EULAR evidence based recommendations for the management of hip osteoarthritis: report of a task force of the EULAR Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutics (ESCISIT).
      , including paracetamol (acetaminophen)
      • Zhang W.
      • Jones A.
      • Doherty M.
      Does paracetamol (acetaminophen) reduce the pain of osteoarthritis? A meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.
      . Four domains – including joint imaging in long-term studies (studies1 year in duration) – have been identified as core outcome measures
      • Bellamy N.
      • Kirwan J.
      • Boers M.
      • Brooks P.
      • Strand V.
      • Tugwell P.
      • et al.
      Recommendations for a core set of outcome measures for future phase III clinical trials in knee, hip, and hand osteoarthritis. Consensus development at OMERACT III.
      that should be evaluated in Phase III clinical trials of knee, hip, and hand OA
      • Dougados M.
      Monitoring osteoarthritis progression and therapy.
      . Unfortunately, only one of the included studies could be considered a long-term study in this respect
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      , the primary end point in the study was a change of the joint space width (JSW) on plain anteroposterior radiographs of the pelvis in the standing position after 2 years' treatment. The overall comparison of the evolution of JSW showed no difference between the ASU and placebo. However, in a subgroup analysis with patients dichotomized according to the median value of the baseline JSW, the joint space loss in the most severely affected subgroup of patients was significantly greater in the placebo group than in the ASU group. In the less severely affected subgroup of patients the JSW decrease was identical with no difference in ASU and placebo groups
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      . The authors had no explanation for this unexpected result of their post hoc analysis.
      The possibility of publication bias with a preference for positive results cannot be excluded
      • Egger M.
      • Smith G.D.
      Bias in location and selection of studies.
      . However, we found no indication of congress abstracts not being published (as a peer reviewed paper) and non-significant results of ASU have been published as well
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Caspard H.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables (ASU) on joint space loss in hip osteoarthritis (HOA) over 2 years: a placebo controlled trial.
      • Lequesne M.
      • Maheu E.
      • Cadet C.
      • Dreiser R.L.
      Structural effect of avocado/soybean unsaponifiables on joint space loss in osteoarthritis of the hip.
      . The total number of studies included in the present meta-analysis seemed too sparse to include a formal graphic test for publication bias
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      • Schneider M.
      • Minder C.
      Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test.
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      • Abrams K.R.
      • Rushton L.
      Comparison of two methods to detect publication bias in meta-analysis.
      . In our opinion, the most important limitation associated with the present meta-analysis is the fact that all the included studies were industry funded, which may augment the risk of bias mentioned above: there is evidence suggesting that trials funded by for-profit organizations may be more positive due to biased interpretation of trial results
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      Association of funding and conclusions in randomized drug trials: a reflection of treatment effect or adverse events?.
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      • et al.
      Association between industry funding and statistically significant pro-industry findings in medical and surgical randomized trials.
      . Likewise, there is evidence that industry supported reviews of drugs should be read with caution as they have more favorable conclusions than corresponding Cochrane reviews
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      • Hilden J.
      • Gotzsche P.C.
      Cochrane reviews compared with industry supported meta-analyses and other meta-analyses of the same drugs: systematic review.
      . We declare that we have no conflicts of interest in regard to ASU and OA; this critical review was initiated based on (local) medical considerations discussed in Denmark
      • Angermann P.
      Avocado/soybean unsaponifiables in the treatment of knee and hip osteoarthritis.
      .
      As a conclusion of this meta-analysis, we suggest that ASUs are no worse and no better for treatment of OA than other medications. As there is no evidence of significant adverse effects of ASU, patients may be recommended to give ASU a chance for e.g., 3 months, after which a balanced review of the individual effect is necessary. The health professional should be aware that the combined evidence behind such advice supports a better chance of success in patients with knee OA than in those with hip OA.

      Conflict of interest

      None of the authors have anything to disclose.

      Acknowledgments

      We acknowledge the personal and scientific support of Professor Bente Danneskiold-Samsøe, M.D., Head of the Parker Institute and the linguistic support of Mette Gad, M.A.

      Appendix. Empirical Bayes estimates

      To adjust simultaneously for both relevant covariates: %hips affected and duration of trial, we combined these two in the model, corresponding to a three-dimensional analysis. These multivariate analyses
      • van Houwelingen H.C.
      • Arends L.R.
      • Stijnen T.
      Advanced methods in meta-analysis: multivariate approach and meta-regression.
      can be illustrated using a conditionally independent hierarchical (i.e., empirical Bayes [EB])
      • Kass R.E.
      • Steffey D.
      Approximate Bayesian-inference in conditionally independent hierarchical-models (parametric empirical Bayes models).
      modified meta-analysis forest-plot (see Appendix figure)
      • van Houwelingen H.C.
      • Arends L.R.
      • Stijnen T.
      Advanced methods in meta-analysis: multivariate approach and meta-regression.
      . In the adjusted analyses we included each original study's characteristics (see Table I, %hips affected and duration of trial) in the model, based on the mixing distribution serving as a prior distribution, and resulting in (conditional-) adjusted EB estimates for each study
      • Raudenbush S.W.
      • Bryk A.S.
      Empirical Bayes meta-analysis.
      • Kass R.E.
      • Steffey D.
      Approximate Bayesian-inference in conditionally independent hierarchical-models (parametric empirical Bayes models).
      • van Houwelingen H.C.
      • Arends L.R.
      • Stijnen T.
      Advanced methods in meta-analysis: multivariate approach and meta-regression.
      . Based on these adjusted estimates, it was evident that the average patient would experience a small to moderate pain reduction (ES=0.40 [0.25–0.55]) after 6 months' treatment with ASU. Focusing on knee and hip joint separately, these data indicate that knee OA patients would experience a large clinical effect according to pain reduction (ES: 0.99 [0.54–1.44]). However, these theoretical estimates would indicate that patients with hip OA might even experience increased pain after ASU treatment for 6 months (ES: −0.44 [−1.05–0.17]). Similarly, the clinical efficacy according to the Lequesne index was evident, as the average patient experienced a close to moderate improvement (ES: 0.46 [0.27–0.64]). The joint specific efficacy after 6 months' treatment: knee joints showed a moderate to large clinical improvement (ES: 0.65 [0.10–1.21]), whereas patients with hip OA might experience less than a small clinical effect, based on a non-significant test (ES: 0.17 [−0.57–0.92]). Finally, in regard to heterogeneity and post hoc adjusted efficacy, data indicated that the average patient is more likely to respond to treatment after ASU as opposed to placebo therapy for 6 months (OR: 2.20 [1.60–3.02]), although this is only evident in knee OA patients (knee OA, ES: 2.60 [1.01–6.70] and hip OA, ES: 1.72 [0.48–6.17], respectively).
      Figure thumbnail fx1

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